Research & Insight
Since 1992, CMG has embraced uncommon solutions –– the application of tactical investments as part of a progressive diversification philosophy –– to help investors successfully navigate the challenges of today’s investment world.
To enlighten those decisions, we make our insights, opinions, and research available in a variety of forms: Newsletters, white papers, economic commentary and weekly market updates. It’s a great library of information and it’s open 24/7/365. That way, you can drop by anytime.
Steve's monthly examination of the global economic landscape and what he sees as the most relevant and vital market sectors to be watched.
On My Radar
Steve's weekly debriefing identifies the most relevant market events of the past week and discusses how he sees these events impacting the market.
Steve's "risk on - risk off" call on market volatility and adjusting portfolio positioning for the market conditions. Steve illustrates his outlook on a weekly basis through the use of Sentiment Charts.
Facts and figures tell the story and help make decisions.
Stay ahead of the game by tracking the news.
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Most Recent Stories
Trade Signals: Mixed Investor Sentiment - 04-16-2014
Trade Signals – Mixed Investor Sentiment S&P 500 Index 1843 By Steve Blumenthal April 16, 2014 Sentiment has become more constructive. The Daily Trading Sentiment Composite is back in the Extreme Pessimism (Bullish) zone supporting a further rally. The cyclical trend as measured by Big Mo remains bullish; however, seasonal tendencies suggest caution. In my […]
On My Radar: Dare To Be Great - 04-11-2014
April 11, 2014 By Steve Blumenthal The Fed owns 30% of all mortgage backed securities and nearly 25% of all the Treasury bonds. Wow! Unimaginable, but real. I find myself frequently visiting the Fed’s website. I particularly like Dallas Fed President Richard Fisher. As a former fund manager, maybe it is his real life investment […]
Trade Signals – Seasonal Tendencies - 04-9-2014
S&P 500 Index 1852 By Steve Blumenthal April 9, 2014 I was pretty aggressive with my call to hedge in last week’s Trade Signals (What Was I Thinking). That view remains unchanged. While the equity markets cyclical trend remains bullish, the seasonal patterns are concerning and with sentiment back to Extreme Optimism (Bearish), I believe […]
On My Radar: Zweig’s Tactical Bond Model - 04-4-2014
Recent pieces have focused on the likely path to higher interest rates. This is a major problem for all bond investors, especially if you have 40% or more allocated to bonds. The vast majority of investors own bonds. I believe the bond market is experiencing a long-term secular bull peak. With rates so low, perhaps […]
Trade Signals: What Was I Thinking - 04-2-2014
S&P 500 Index 1885 By Steve Blumenthal April 2, 2014 If you have yet to put some form of portfolio protection in place, I believe it wise to have it in place by month end. I’m referring specifically to your long-term equity portfolio exposure (your stocks for the long run). I do not believe it […]
March 28, 2014 By Steve Blumenthal “A pessimist sees the difficulty in every opportunity; an optimist sees the opportunity in every difficulty.” Winston Churchill. Last night I had the absolute pleasure of seeing NY Times columnist Adam Bryant, speak at my stepson’s school. Bryant interviews chief executives about leadership and management. His piece, The Corner […]
S&P 500 Index 1865 By Steve Blumenthal March 26, 2014 We are nearing the end of QE. In last week’s On My Radar titled, The Likely Path to Higher Rates, I posted a great chart that suggests the Fed will begin hiking rates sooner and/or more aggressively than previously expected. One of the most famous […]
On My Radar: The Likely Path to Higher Rates! - 03-21-2014
March 21, 2014 By Steve Blumenthal It was a big week for Chairwoman Janet Yellen. Loved her transparency. Can’t you just feel the collective investment world sitting on the edge of its seat? We are all watching with concern and for good reason. So with interest rates front and center, let’s take a look at […]
Trade Signals: Sentiment, Trend & Fed Charts - 03-19-2014
S&P 500 Index 1860 By Steve Blumenthal March 19, 2014 Surprisingly, given the global stress, sentiment remains at extreme optimism. The cyclical bull market trend continues to be the dominant trend and the story supporting the market remains Fed policy (and global central bank liquidity). I update the “Don’t Fight The Tape Or The Fed” […]
On My Radar: One Billion Dollars! - 03-14-2014
March 14, 2014 By Steve Blumenthal It sure feels like we are moving towards a point of crisis. The number two economy in the world is in serious decline; their customers’ economies (mostly the U.S. and Europe) have slowed. The great boom in China appears to be over. Prime the printing presses – more help […]