Research & Insight
Since 1992, CMG has embraced uncommon solutions –– the application of tactical investments as part of a progressive diversification philosophy –– to help investors successfully navigate the challenges of today’s investment world.
To enlighten those decisions, we make our insights, opinions, and research available in a variety of forms: Newsletters, white papers, economic commentary and weekly market updates. It’s a great library of information and it’s open 24/7/365. That way, you can drop by anytime.
Steve's monthly examination of the global economic landscape and what he sees as the most relevant and vital market sectors to be watched.
On My Radar
Steve's weekly debriefing identifies the most relevant market events of the past week and discusses how he sees these events impacting the market.
Steve's "risk on - risk off" call on market volatility and adjusting portfolio positioning for the market conditions. Steve illustrates his outlook on a weekly basis through the use of Sentiment Charts.
Facts and figures tell the story and help make decisions.
Stay ahead of the game by tracking the news.
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Most Recent Stories
April 24, 2015 By Steve Blumenthal “The most difficult thing is the decision to act, the rest is merely tenacity.” – Amelia Earhart Understanding when a recession might begin is important to our long-term financial health. Why? The stock market declines approximately 40% during recessions. I’ve spent a lot of time over the last several […]
Trade Signals – “Risk On” Trade Remains in Place - 04-22-2015
S&P 500 Index 2109 By Steve Blumenthal April 22, 2015 Charts are updated below. Trend remains positive and sentiment supportive. Included in this week’s Trade Signals: Cyclical Equity Market Trend: The Primary Trend Remains Bullish for Stocks Volume Demand Continues to Better Volume Supply: Bullish for Stocks Weekly Investor Sentiment Indicator: NDR Crowd Sentiment […]
On My Radar: The Speech at Lost Tree Club - 04-17-2015
April 17, 2015 By Steve Blumenthal “I’m not predicting a crash, I’m just saying the risk reward of going early (Fed raising rates) is better than going late.” – Stan Druckenmiller I spent 45 minutes this morning watching the Bloomberg interview with Stan Druckenmiller. I had a number of other things to share with you today, […]
Trade Signals – Finding Uncorrelated Returns - 04-15-2015
S&P 500 Index 2096 By Steve Blumenthal April 15, 2014 There are no major changes in trend and investor sentiment in the last few weeks. Below are the most recent trend and sentiment charts. Let’s call the environment cautiously bullish. Overall, valuations remain high and forward return potential is low; thus, risk is high (click […]
On My Radar: High Valuations = Low Forward Returns - 04-10-2015
April 10, 2015 By Steve Blumenthal “I can’t change the direction of the wind, but I can adjust my sails to always reach my destination.” – Jimmy Dean Over the course of the first quarter, Standard and Poor’s lowered their forecast for 2015 earnings from $135 per share to $112 per share to $110 per […]
By Steve Blumenthal April 8, 2014 Included in this week’s Trade Signals: Cyclical Equity Market Trend: The Primary Trend Remains Bullish for Stocks Volume Demand Continues to Better Volume Supply: Bullish for Stocks Weekly Investor Sentiment Indicator: NDR Crowd Sentiment Poll: Neutral Signal from Optimism (short-term Neutral for stocks) Daily Trading Sentiment Composite: Neutral Signal […]
On My Radar: Old Spice & Love – At 11,000 Feet - 04-3-2015
April 4, 2015 By Steve Blumenthal “Deals are getting worse and worse for the investor, and they have been powerless to stop it. The only winners are issuers and their underwriters.” – Martin Fridson I circle back to the high yield bond market frequently because I believe it will signal a coming recession. While I […]
By Steve Blumenthal April 1, 2014 Included in this week’s Trade Signals: Cyclical Equity Market Trend: The Primary Trend Remains Bullish for Stocks Volume Demand Continues to Better Volume Supply: Bullish for Stocks Weekly Investor Sentiment Indicator: NDR Crowd Sentiment Poll: Neutral Signal from Optimism (short-term Neutral for stocks) Daily Trading Sentiment Composite: Neutral Signal […]
On My Radar: Going Forward with Great Purpose! - 03-27-2015
March 27, 2015 By Steve Blumenthal “When you are inspired by some great purpose, some extraordinary project, all of your thoughts break their bonds. Your mind transcends limitations, your consciousness expands in every direction, and you find yourself in a new, great, wonderful world.” “When you are inspired, dormant forces, faculties, and talents come alive […]
S&P 500 Index 2076 By Steve Blumenthal March 25, 2014 The Zweig Bond Model and our CMG Managed High Yield Bond Program have both switched back to “buy” signals. The overall equity market trend remains positive as measured by Big Mo (Momentum) and the 13/34- Week EMA. Sentiment is neutral. Included in this week’s Trade […]