Research & Insight
Since 1992, CMG has embraced uncommon solutions –– the application of tactical investments as part of a progressive diversification philosophy –– to help investors successfully navigate the challenges of today’s investment world.
To enlighten those decisions, we make our insights, opinions, and research available in a variety of forms: Newsletters, white papers, economic commentary and weekly market updates. It’s a great library of information and it’s open 24/7/365. That way, you can drop by anytime.
Steve's monthly examination of the global economic landscape and what he sees as the most relevant and vital market sectors to be watched.
On My Radar
Steve's weekly debriefing identifies the most relevant market events of the past week and discusses how he sees these events impacting the market.
Steve's "risk on - risk off" call on market volatility and adjusting portfolio positioning for the market conditions. Steve illustrates his outlook on a weekly basis through the use of Sentiment Charts.
Facts and figures tell the story and help make decisions.
Stay ahead of the game by tracking the news.
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Most Recent Stories
On My Radar: Focus on the Curve Ahead - 03-8-2014
March 7, 2014 By Steve Blumenthal On Thursday I spoke at the NWA Financial Fitness Forum sponsored by Mach-1 Financial Group in Northwest Arkansas. The keynote for the event was former Governor Mike Huckabee. He spoke about the mess in Washington (of course) and his deep belief that they have forgotten who they are working […]
S&P 500 Index 1874 By Steve Blumenthal March 5, 2014 Included in this week’s update (the usual weekly charts): S&P 500 Index Median PE Overvalued and Undervalued Price Targets (as of February 28, 2014) Sentiment Charts – Crowd Sentiment is Extremely Optimistic: Hedge Cyclical Equity Market Trend Charts – Both Trend Charts Remain Bullish Provided […]
On My Radar: A Quant’s Eye View - 02-28-2014
February 28, 2014 By Steve Blumenthal If the big bubble is in the bond market, as I believe, we need to keep a close eye on the direction of interest rates. I have my own long-term fundamental views towards higher rates (Fed QE driven), but the question is when. Patience is required. As a trader, […]
Trade Signals: Newsletters Wrong at Extremes - 02-26-2014
S&P 500 Index 1846 By Steve Blumenthal February 26, 2014 Investor Sentiment has quickly moved back to the Extreme Optimism zone (as measured by the NDR Crowd Sentiment Poll) and the S&P 500 Index is challenging the all time price high. We are in an overbought, over believed and overvalued market environment. I continue to […]
February 20, 2014 Steve joined Paul Vigna on WSJ Live’s Money Beat to discuss the Fed’s talks of potentially moving up the timeline for raising interest rates. What can investors do? Check out the video.
On My Radar: Between a Rock and a Hard Place - 02-21-2014
February 21, 2014 By Steve Blumenthal One of the upcoming challenges for the Fed, aside from tapering, will be the decision to raise interest rates. Keep in mind that the equity rally we have experienced has been largely fueled by the Fed (click here for a chart) and it is the end of this market […]
Steve on TheStreet.com - 02-20-2014
“Don’t Trust the Traditional 60/40 Split” Steve joined Gregg Greenberg at TheStreet.com once again for a discussion on the overvaluation of the market after last year’s rally and how to optimize a portfolio allocation despite these ever-changing market conditions. To see the interview on TheStreet.com, click here.
Trade Signals: Neutral Sentiment - 02-19-2014
S&P 500 Index 1828 By Steve Blumenthal February 19, 2014 Trade Signals is a weekly piece that looks at investor sentiment and identifies levels of both extreme optimism and extreme pessimism. Those extremes may provide a path towards a proactive risk management process. I favor establishing put option hedges when crowd sentiment becomes excessively optimistic […]
February 14, 2014 By Steve Blumenthal “The investor’s chief problem – and even his worst enemy – is likely to be himself.” – Benjamin Graham Just what are tactical investment strategies and where might they fit into your clients’ portfolios? A few months ago, I was on Bloomberg Radio with Pimm Fox and Carol […]
Trade Signals: Yellen for Now - 02-12-2014
S&P 500 Index 1826 By Steve Blumenthal February 12, 2014 Last week, short-term investor sentiment as measured by the NDR Daily Sentiment Poll reached the Extremely Pessimistic zone (a Bullish signal) while the NDR Crowd Sentiment Poll (a somewhat slower measure of sentiment) was nearing Extreme Pessimism but remained neutral. At the core, I believe […]