Research & Insight
Since 1992, CMG has embraced uncommon solutions –– the application of tactical investments as part of a progressive diversification philosophy –– to help investors successfully navigate the challenges of today’s investment world.
To enlighten those decisions, we make our insights, opinions, and research available in a variety of forms: Newsletters, white papers, economic commentary and weekly market updates. It’s a great library of information and it’s open 24/7/365. That way, you can drop by anytime.
Steve's monthly examination of the global economic landscape and what he sees as the most relevant and vital market sectors to be watched.
On My Radar
Steve's weekly debriefing identifies the most relevant market events of the past week and discusses how he sees these events impacting the market.
Steve's "risk on - risk off" call on market volatility and adjusting portfolio positioning for the market conditions. Steve illustrates his outlook on a weekly basis through the use of Sentiment Charts.
Facts and figures tell the story and help make decisions.
Stay ahead of the game by tracking the news.
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Most Recent Stories
On My Radar: Half-Full Growth Rates - 08-29-2014
August 29, 2014 By Steve Blumenthal As we enter the last weekend of the summer, a bummer of a thought though I do favor the fall, I thought I’d keep this piece short and share with you what I found to be a very balanced and well thought-out view on the current state of the […]
Trade Signals: Trend & Sentiment Evidence - 08-27-2014
S&P 500 Index 1997 By Steve Blumenthal August 27, 2014 I posted the following chart on Wednesday, August 13. Short-term sentiment was extremely negative suggesting an oversold rally for the market. The S&P 500 Index was at 1933. It closed above 2000 for the first time in history yesterday. General thoughts on the market: the […]
On My Radar: “Very Far From Normal” - 08-22-2014
August 22, 2014 By Steve Blumenthal To me, the next cyclical market down trend is linked to Fed Policy and the timing of their change in interest rate policy. For now, I remain in the Don’t Fight the Fed or The Trend camp (constructive on equities). So what happens when the Fed raises interest rates? Do […]
S&P 500 Index 1983 By Steve Blumenthal August 20, 2014 The following commentary is unchanged from last week’s post – the charts are updated through today: Despite my personal feelings that: the cyclical bull market is aged, profit margins have likely peaked (and will likely mean revert), the market is meaningfully overvalued and over-owned, and […]
On My Radar: Teach Them to Fly - 08-15-2014
August 15, 2014 By Steve Blumenthal There is an argument being made that the currently high valuation measures (PE, dividends, price to book, price to sales) are really not so high when you consider that today’s interest rates are so low. The thinking is that today’s ultra-low interest rates make the stock market undervalued. The […]
Trade Signals: Short-term Sentiment Says Buy - 08-13-2014
S&P 500 Index 1933 By Steve Blumenthal August 13, 2014 Despite my personal feelings that: the cyclical bull market is aged, profit margins have likely peaked (and will likely mean revert), the market is meaningfully overvalued and over-owned, and margin debt is high and cash low … price momentum (as measured by Big Mo) remains […]
On My Radar: The Maybe and When - 08-8-2014
August 8, 2014 By Steve Blumenthal I was interviewed by a very bright Bloomberg fixed income reporter yesterday. His area of expertise is high yield credit and he had recently read the piece I wrote for Forbes, Code Red in High Yield. He jumped right in with question number one, “is this the top in […]
CMG Media Kit - 08-8-2014
CMG has appeared in various industry media outlets including Investor’s Business Daily, Barron’s, InvestmentNews and the Wall Street Journal. We invite you to check out the CMG Media Kit. This piece highlights some of the appearances we’ve made this year and is a great tool to help your clients learn more about CMG.
Trade Signals: Low Cash High Debt - 08-6-2014
S&P 500 Index 1917 By Steve Blumenthal August 6, 2014 Along with each week’s equity and fixed income trade signal charts, this week I include a chart showing low available cash and a one showing high margin debt. Big Mo remains in a cyclically bullish buy signal for equities and the Zweig Bond Model remains […]
CMG Q2 2014 Quarterly Performance Update - 08-5-2014
Dear clients, friends and family: Following is the 2014 second quarter net performance information for CMG’s Tactical Investment Strategies along with our thoughts on each strategy over the past quarter. In addition, we have provided the net performance for the CMG Managed Blends and the CMG Classic Blends. We have also reflected the net performance […]