Research & Insight

Since 1992, CMG has embraced uncommon solutions –– the application of tactical investments as part of a progressive diversification philosophy –– to help investors successfully navigate the challenges of today’s investment world.

To enlighten those decisions, we make our insights, opinions, and research available in a variety of forms: Newsletters, white papers, economic commentary and weekly market updates. It’s a great library of information and it’s open 24/7/365. That way, you can drop by anytime.

On My RadarSteve's weekly debriefing identifies the most relevant market events of the past week and discusses how he sees these events impacting the market.See all On My Radar debriefings
Trade SignalsSteve's "risk on - risk off" call on market volatility and adjusting portfolio positioning for the market conditions. Steve illustrates his outlook on a weekly basis through the use of Sentiment Charts.See all Trade Signals
Quarterly PerformanceFacts and figures tell the story and help make decisions.See all quarterly performance reports
WebinarsJoin us for free Webinars and online events - stay up to speed on the latest research and insights, products and services. See all Webinars
NewsStay ahead of the game by tracking the news.See all News
Blumenthal ViewpointSteve's monthly examination of the global economic landscape and what he sees as the most relevant and vital market sectors to be watched.See all Blumenthal Viewpoints

Most Recent Stories

Trade Signals — Treasury 3.07% “Line in the Sand” Has Been Breached - 05-16-2018

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By Steve Blumenthal May 16, 2018 S&P 500 Index -- 2,723 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors demand [...]Read More >

On My Radar: The Debt Bubble and the Interest Rate Trigger - 05-11-2018

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May 11, 2018 By Steve Blumenthal “At a time when the unemployment rate is well below full employment and inflation is accelerating, the Federal Reserve (Fed) is already on a course to tighten policy in order to cool the economy. Fiscal stimulus has only served to elevate concerns about economic [...]Read More >

Trade Signals — Bearish Bond Signals, Moderately Bullish Equity Signals, 200-day MA Holding - 05-9-2018

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By Steve Blumenthal May 9, 2018 S&P 500 Index -- 2,694 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors demand [...]Read More >

On My Radar: There’s a New Curve in Town and It’s Flashing Red - 05-4-2018

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May 4, 2018 By Steve Blumenthal "Excesses in one direction will lead to an opposite excess in the other direction." "Markets are strongest when they are broad and weakest when they narrow to a handful of blue-chip names." "Bull markets are more fun than bear markets." - Bob Farrell (Rules #2, [...]Read More >

Trade Signals — The S&P 500 Index Fight at the 200-Day Line - 05-2-2018

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By Steve Blumenthal May 2, 2018 S&P 500 Index -- 2,650 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors demand [...]Read More >

CMG Q1 2018 Quarterly Performance Update - 05-2-2018

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Dear clients, friends and family: Following is the 2018 first quarter performance for CMG’s Tactical Investment Strategies along with our thoughts on each strategy over the past quarter. Market index performance is presented at the bottom of the chart. CMG Tactical Fixed Income [...]Read More >

On My Radar: 3.07% is the Line in the Sand for Yields - 04-27-2018

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April 27, 2018 By Steve Blumenthal “What we anticipate seldom occurs; what we least expect generally happens." Benjamin Disraeli We’ve been talking about a 3% yield on the 10-year Treasury as a line in the sand. It may well be. The important technical number is 3.07%. A break higher and 4% is [...]Read More >

Trade Signals — No Significant Changes from Last Week’s Post - 04-25-2018

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By Steve Blumenthal April 25, 2018 S&P 500 Index -- 2,634 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Stable and Unstable Financing Regimes — A Minsky Moment? - 04-20-2018

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April 20, 2018 By Steve Blumenthal “A Minsky moment is a sudden major collapse of asset values, which is part of the credit cycle or business cycle. Such moments occur because long periods of prosperity and increasing value of investments lead to increasing speculation using borrowed [...]Read More >

Trade Signals — Market Tumult Pauses; Some Signals Remain Bullish - 04-18-2018

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By Steve Blumenthal April 17, 2018 S&P 500 Index -- 2,710 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

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