Research & Insight

Since 1992, CMG has embraced uncommon solutions –– the application of tactical investments as part of a progressive diversification philosophy –– to help investors successfully navigate the challenges of today’s investment world.

To enlighten those decisions, we make our insights, opinions, and research available in a variety of forms: Newsletters, white papers, economic commentary and weekly market updates. It’s a great library of information and it’s open 24/7/365. That way, you can drop by anytime.

On My RadarSteve's weekly debriefing identifies the most relevant market events of the past week and discusses how he sees these events impacting the market.See all On My Radar debriefings
Trade SignalsSteve's "risk on - risk off" call on market volatility and adjusting portfolio positioning for the market conditions. Steve illustrates his outlook on a weekly basis through the use of Sentiment Charts.See all Trade Signals
Quarterly PerformanceFacts and figures tell the story and help make decisions.See all quarterly performance reports
WebinarsJoin us for free Webinars and online events - stay up to speed on the latest research and insights, products and services. See all Webinars
NewsStay ahead of the game by tracking the news.See all News
Blumenthal ViewpointSteve's monthly examination of the global economic landscape and what he sees as the most relevant and vital market sectors to be watched.See all Blumenthal Viewpoints

Most Recent Stories

Trade Signals – Testing the 200-day Line – Breaking Higher? - 02-13-2019

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By Steve Blumenthal February 13, 2019 S&P 500 Index -- 2,755 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

On My Radar: My Favorite Recession Watch Charts and What They are Telling Us - 02-8-2019

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February 8, 2019 By Steve Blumenthal “He went from being “Pragmatic Powell” to a “Powell Put.” But I do worry about people buying the dip because it does remind me a little of how the credit crisis developed with sub-prime starting to crack in 2007 it cracked down to $80 and people bought that [...]Read More >

Trade Signals – Red Zone – Upside Limited - 02-6-2019

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By Steve Blumenthal February 6, 2019 S&P 500 Index -- 2,730 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

On My Radar: An Observation on a Country Which I Love - 02-1-2019

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February 1, 2019 By Steve Blumenthal “It's 'pretty obvious' the Fed is moving to the whims of the markets.” - Art Cashin Managing Director, Director of Floor Operations UBS Financial Services Inc. “It is impossible for Jay Powell to be more dominated by market-world than he is today. Even in [...]Read More >

Trade Signals – The Zweig Bond Model Turns Bullish, Equity Markets Testing Resistance (200-day MA) - 01-30-2019

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By Steve Blumenthal January 30, 2019 S&P 500 Index -- 2,663 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

CMG Q4 2018 Quarterly Performance Update - 01-28-2019

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Dear clients, friends and family: Following is the 2018 fourth quarter performance for CMG’s Tactical Investment Strategies along with our thoughts on each strategy over the past quarter. Market index performance is presented at the bottom of the chart. CMG Tactical Fixed Income [...]Read More >

On My Radar: More Money Than Fools or More Fools Than Money - 01-25-2019

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January 25, 2019 By Steve Blumenthal “More money than fools or more fools than money. When there is more money than fools asset prices go up. When there are more fools than money, asset prices go down.” – Louis-Vincent Gave, Founding Partner & CEO, Gavekal Research At last March’s Mauldin [...]Read More >

Trade Signals – Testing Overhead Resistance (Red Zone) - 01-23-2019

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By Steve Blumenthal January 23, 2019 S&P 500 Index -- 2,643 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

On My Radar: RIP Jack Bogle, Welcome Home - 01-18-2019

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January 18, 2019 By Steve Blumenthal “Overoptimism and overconfidence are two well-known psychological traits of our species. They are particularly dangerous in the late stages of an economic cycle where these terrible twins result in investors overestimating return and underestimating risk – a [...]Read More >

Trade Signals – Equity Signals Remain in Sell, Fixed Income Signals Mixed; Will US Government Shutdown Cause Recession? - 01-16-2019

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By Steve Blumenthal January 16, 2019 S&P 500 Index -- 2,614 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

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