Research & Insight

Since 1992, CMG has embraced uncommon solutions –– the application of tactical investments as part of a progressive diversification philosophy –– to help investors successfully navigate the challenges of today’s investment world.

To enlighten those decisions, we make our insights, opinions, and research available in a variety of forms: Newsletters, white papers, economic commentary and weekly market updates. It’s a great library of information and it’s open 24/7/365. That way, you can drop by anytime.

On My RadarSteve's weekly debriefing identifies the most relevant market events of the past week and discusses how he sees these events impacting the market.See all On My Radar debriefings
Trade SignalsSteve's "risk on - risk off" call on market volatility and adjusting portfolio positioning for the market conditions. Steve illustrates his outlook on a weekly basis through the use of Sentiment Charts.See all Trade Signals
Quarterly PerformanceFacts and figures tell the story and help make decisions.See all quarterly performance reports
WebinarsJoin us for free Webinars and online events - stay up to speed on the latest research and insights, products and services. See all Webinars
NewsStay ahead of the game by tracking the news.See all News
Blumenthal ViewpointSteve's monthly examination of the global economic landscape and what he sees as the most relevant and vital market sectors to be watched.See all Blumenthal Viewpoints

Most Recent Stories

Trade Signals – 2,388 Days and Counting - 09-12-2018

Share This:

By Steve Blumenthal September 12, 2018 S&P 500 Index -- 2,890 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Valuations, Forward Returns and Sandpiles - 09-7-2018

Share This:

September 7, 2018 By Steve Blumenthal “[A] grain falling on a red spot can, by domino-like action, cause sliding at other nearby red spots.” – Mark Buchanan, Ubiquity, Why Catastrophes Happen I woke up early last Saturday morning and found John Mauldin’s Thoughts from the Frontline newsletter on [...]Read More >

Trade Signals – More Buyers Than Sellers - 09-5-2018

Share This:

By Steve Blumenthal September 5, 2018 S&P 500 Index -- 2,888 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Late Cycle Behavior and the 200-Day Stop-Loss Rule - 08-31-2018

Share This:

August 31, 2018 By Steve Blumenthal “The best insurance policy against missing big market moves is to have more than one online brokerage account.” – Barron’s, March 11, 2000 If you feel it appropriate, share this piece with your client(s). It's about late cycles, investor behavior and risk [...]Read More >

Trade Signals – Equity Trend Continues to Roll; NDR-CMG US Large Cap Long/Flat Index Moves to 100% Equity Exposure - 08-29-2018

Share This:

By Steve Blumenthal August 29, 2018 S&P 500 Index -- 2,900 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Bull Markets, Junk Bonds and Jackson Hole - 08-24-2018

Share This:

August 24, 2018 By Steve Blumenthal "With solid household and business confidence, healthy levels of job creation, rising incomes, and fiscal stimulus arriving, there is good reason to expect that this strong performance will continue….” – Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell in Jackson [...]Read More >

Trade Signals — Equity Bull Market Trend Remains (Wall Street Record 3,453 Days – Longest Rally Ever) - 08-22-2018

Share This:

By Steve Blumenthal August 22, 2018 S&P 500 Index -- 2,862 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Policy Mistakes, Capital Preservation and Home Runs - 08-17-2018

Share This:

August 17, 2018 By Steve Blumenthal “The deflationary period we’ve been in has come to an end.” – Louis-Vincent Gave, Founding Partner & CEO, Gavekal Research Last March, I shared with you GaveKal Research’s “Four Quadrants Framework.” Louis-Vincent Gave presented at the March 2018 Mauldin [...]Read More >

Trade Signals – Turkey Crisis, EU Banks and the ECB - 08-15-2018

Share This:

By Steve Blumenthal August 15, 2018 S&P 500 Index -- 2,807 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

CMG Q2 2018 Quarterly Performance Update - 08-14-2018

Share This:

Dear clients, friends and family: Following is the 2018 second quarter performance for CMG’s Tactical Investment Strategies along with our thoughts on each strategy over the past quarter. Market index performance is presented at the bottom of the chart. CMG Tactical Fixed Income [...]Read More >

Important disclosure information: This website, and above links, contains information that has multiple authors and will offer multiple opinions on topics of interest. Any original written material on this website, either authored by CMG staff or external authors, are strictly the opinion of the author and not of CMG. If you find material that is inaccurate or defaming in any way, please contact us.

No Solicitation or Investment Advice: The material contained on this website is for informational purposes only and CMG is not soliciting any action based upon such material. The material is not to be construed as an offer or a recommendation to buy or sell a security nor is it to be construed as investment advice. Additionally, the material accessible through this website does not constitute a representation that the investments described herein are suitable or appropriate for any person.
Various links on this site will allow you to leave the CMG Web site. The linked sites are not under the control of CMG, and CMG is not responsible for the contents of any linked site or any link contained in a linked site, or any changes or updates to such sites. CMG is not responsible for any correspondence via email or any other medium, email list servers, webcasting or any other form of transmission received from any linked site. Links to external sources do not imply any official endorsement by CMG or the opinions, ideas or information contained therein, nor guarantees the validity, completeness or utility of the information provided. Reference herein to any products, services, processes, hypertext links to third parties or other information does not necessarily constitute or imply endorsement, sponsorship or recommendation. CMG shall not be held liable for improper or incorrect use of data or information contained in any electronic publications. Data, information, and related graphics contained in electronic publications are not legal documents and are not intended to be used as such. CMG gives no warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability, utility or completeness of any information contained in any electronic document.