By Steve Blumenthal April 24, 2019 S&P 500 Index -- 2,934 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

April 19, 2019 By Steve Blumenthal “Peace is its own reward.” - Mahatma Gandhi This week’s post is holiday-weekend short. Grab that coffee and find your favorite chair. You’ll find a simple chart that shows the history of cyclical bull and bear markets (with returns before and after inflation). [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal April 17, 2019 S&P 500 Index -- 2,878 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

April 12, 2019 By Steve Blumenthal "The economy is a collection of emotions." - Kenneth Langone Speaking to first-year NYU medical students, Kenneth G. Langone and his wife, Elaine, stepped to the podium. Their announcement shook the room. “From this point on, NYU Medical School is tuition-free [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal April 10, 2019 S&P 500 Index -- 2,878 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

April 5, 2019 By Steve Blumenthal “Meanwhile, over the past 10 years, low interest rates meant that we kept bringing tomorrow’s growth forward to today. Unfortunately, we may now have run out of tomorrow’s growth, and are about to start to regret eating today’s growth yesterday.” – [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal April 3, 2019 S&P 500 Index -- 2,867 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

March 29, 2019 By Steve Blumenthal "There's a lot of reasons to think that it has been a recession predictor for reasons in the past that kind of don't apply today." – John Williams, President and CEO, Federal Reserve Bank of New York Is it different this time? Williams is saying yes. The bond [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal March 27, 2019 S&P 500 Index -- 2,797 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

March 22, 2019 By Steve Blumenthal “This U-Turn on nothing fundamentally changing is unprecedented. Three months ago, we were on ‘autopilot’ with the balance sheet and now the bond market is priced for a rate cut this year. The reversal in their stance is stunning.” - Jeffrey Gundlach CEO, [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal March 20, 2019 S&P 500 Index -- 2,831 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

March 15, 2019 By Steve Blumenthal “Business cycles are a type of fluctuation found in the aggregate economic activity of nations that organize their work mainly in business enterprises: a cycle consists of expansions occurring at about the same time in many economic activities, followed by [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal March 13, 2019 S&P 500 Index -- 2,799 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

March 8, 2019 By Steve Blumenthal “To refer to a personal taste of mine, I’m going to buy hamburgers the rest of my life. When hamburgers go down in price, we sing the ‘Hallelujah Chorus’ in the Buffett household. When hamburgers go up in price, we weep. For most people, it’s the same with [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal March 6, 2019 S&P 500 Index -- 2,780 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >