Research & Insight

Since 1992, CMG has embraced uncommon solutions –– the application of tactical investments as part of a progressive diversification philosophy –– to help investors successfully navigate the challenges of today’s investment world.

To enlighten those decisions, we make our insights, opinions, and research available in a variety of forms: Newsletters, white papers, economic commentary and weekly market updates. It’s a great library of information and it’s open 24/7/365. That way, you can drop by anytime.

On My RadarSteve's weekly debriefing identifies the most relevant market events of the past week and discusses how he sees these events impacting the market.See all On My Radar debriefings
Trade SignalsSteve's "risk on - risk off" call on market volatility and adjusting portfolio positioning for the market conditions. Steve illustrates his outlook on a weekly basis through the use of Sentiment Charts.See all Trade Signals
Quarterly PerformanceFacts and figures tell the story and help make decisions.See all quarterly performance reports
WebinarsJoin us for free Webinars and online events - stay up to speed on the latest research and insights, products and services. See all Webinars
NewsStay ahead of the game by tracking the news.See all News
Blumenthal ViewpointSteve's monthly examination of the global economic landscape and what he sees as the most relevant and vital market sectors to be watched.See all Blumenthal Viewpoints

Most Recent Stories

Trade Signals — Cautious on Market: Investor Bullish Sentiment Too Extreme, Negative Seasonality Patterns - 06-13-2018

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By Steve Blumenthal June 13, 2018 S&P 500 Index -- 2,789 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

On My Radar: A Story About “If” - 06-8-2018

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June 8, 2018 By Steve Blumenthal - Rudyard Kipling It was Kipling’s poem. A reflection. A smile. And yes, a tear. It was my mom whispering. If I could share some advice to the young CFA, an advisor, my client, my friend, my kids and again to myself… that poem. So much in that poem. This [...]Read More >

Trade Signals — Moderately Bullish Equity Trend, Fixed Income Bearish, HY Bond Trend Bullish Once Again - 06-7-2018

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By Steve Blumenthal June 6, 2018 S&P 500 Index -- 2,769 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors demand [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Instability Creates Opportunity — Your Starting Conditions Matter - 06-1-2018

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June 1, 2018 By Steve Blumenthal “… [T]he trigger for a crisis could be anything if the system as a whole is unstable. Moreover, the size of the trigger event need not bear any relation to the systemic outcome. The lesson is that policymakers should be focused less on identifying [...]Read More >

Trade Signals – Italy, EU Banks and Trade - 05-31-2018

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By Steve Blumenthal May 30, 2018 S&P 500 Index -- 2,702 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors demand [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Stan Druckenmiller and Alexander Hamilton - 05-25-2018

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May 25, 2018 By Steve Blumenthal “If I were trying to create a deflationary bust, I would do exact exactly what the world’s central bankers have been doing the last six years. I shudder to think that the malinvestment that occurred over this period. Corporate debt has soared, but most of it has [...]Read More >

Trade Signals — Mixed Market Signals Persist; Don’t Fight the Tape Slips to -1 - 05-23-2018

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By Steve Blumenthal May 23, 2018 S&P 500 Index -- 2,713 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors demand [...]Read More >

On My Radar: The 3.07% “Line in the Sand” has been Breached - 05-18-2018

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May 18, 2018 By Steve Blumenthal "The most important item over time in valuation is obviously interest rates… If interest rates are destined to be at low levels, it makes any stream of earnings from investments worth more money. The bogey is always what government bonds yield." - Warren Buffett [...]Read More >

Trade Signals — Treasury 3.07% “Line in the Sand” Has Been Breached - 05-16-2018

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By Steve Blumenthal May 16, 2018 S&P 500 Index -- 2,723 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors demand [...]Read More >

On My Radar: The Debt Bubble and the Interest Rate Trigger - 05-11-2018

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May 11, 2018 By Steve Blumenthal “At a time when the unemployment rate is well below full employment and inflation is accelerating, the Federal Reserve (Fed) is already on a course to tighten policy in order to cool the economy. Fiscal stimulus has only served to elevate concerns about economic [...]Read More >

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