By Steve Blumenthal February 15, 2017 S&P 500 Index -- 2,340 This week I have posted my favorite Inflation Signal chart. It is signaling high inflationary pressures. Following is a brief description of Trade Signals followed by the most recent data, charts and commentary. Have a great [...]Read More >
On My Radar: A Quiet Giant of Investing Weighs In on Trump - 02-10-2017
February 10, 2017 By Steve Blumenthal “President Trump may be able to temporarily hold off the sweep of automation and globalization by cajoling companies to keep jobs at home, but bolstering inefficient and uncompetitive enterprises is likely to only temporarily stave off market forces,” he [...]Read More >
Trade Signals — Majority of Equity Indicators Bullish, Trend Positive, Sentiment Remains Excessively Optimistic - 02-10-2017
By Steve Blumenthal February 8, 2017 S&P 500 Index -- 2,293 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Looking for a Good Bargain - 02-3-2017
February 3, 2017 By Steve Blumenthal “There’s only one reason a share goes to a bargain price: Because other people are selling. There is no other reason. To get a bargain price, you’ve got to look for where the public is most frightened and pessimistic.” “Looking for a good investment is [...]Read More >
Trade Signals — Equity Market Trend Remains Bullish, Bonds Bearish and Sentiment Overly Optimistic (Suggesting S/T Caution) - 02-1-2017
By Steve Blumenthal February 1, 2017 S&P 500 Index -- 2,275 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Trend Following Works! - 01-27-2017
January 27, 2017 By Steve Blumenthal “We tend to hang onto our views too long simply because we spent time and effort coming up with those views in the first place. This leads to confirmation bias and an anchoring to strongly held beliefs even if the evidence fails to support them anymore.” - [...]Read More >
Trade Signals — Equity Trend Remains Bullish, Sentiment Remains Excessively Bullish, Bond Trend Bearish - 01-25-2017
By Steve Blumenthal January 25, 2017 S&P 500 Index -- 2,280 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Thought — Word — and Action - 01-20-2017
January 20, 2017 By Steve Blumenthal “I can’t change the direction of the wind, but I can adjust my sails to always reach my destination.” Jimmy Dean, American Country Music Singer Today Donald J. Trump was sworn in as the 45th President of the United States. President Trump steps to center [...]Read More >
Trade Signals — Flat Tape Related to Extreme Optimism (S/T Bearish for Equities), Zweig Remains in Sell, Equity Trend Bullish - 01-18-2017
By Steve Blumenthal January 18, 2017 S&P 500 Index -- 2,269 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Keep One Eye On Bonds. Keep the Other on Inflation. - 01-13-2017
January 13, 2017 By Steve Blumenthal “Don't be afraid of change for it is the catalyst of opportunity.” – Unknown We want it short, we want it easy to understand and we want it right. Here’s my best guess: U.S. stocks will remain in an uptrend fueled by a strong dollar Tax cuts, [...]Read More >
Trade Signals — Rising Inflation, Low Probability of Global and U.S. Recession, Equity Cyclical Bull Trend Remains in Place - 01-12-2017
By Steve Blumenthal January 12, 2017 S&P 500 Index -- 2,265 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >
On My Radar: The Bond Market is Facing the “Perfect Storm” plus Latest Equity Market Valuation Charts - 01-6-2017
January 6, 2017 By Steve Blumenthal “Promise yourself to be so strong that nothing can disturb your peace of mind. Look at the sunny side of everything and make your optimism come true. Think only of the best, work only for the best, and expect only the best. Forget the mistakes of the past [...]Read More >
Trade Signals — Don’t Fight the Trend or the Tape… A Golden Rule - 01-4-2017
By Steve Blumenthal January 4, 2017 S&P 500 Index -- 2,270 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Wishing You a Happy, Healthy and Prosperous New Year! - 12-30-2016
December 30, 2016 By Steve Blumenthal “The Federal Reserve is not currently forecasting a recession.” - Ben Bernanke (2008) I mentioned last week there would be no OMR this week. Well, against my wife Susan’s best advice (to take the week off), following is a short post I hope you find [...]Read More >
Trade Signals — Happy New Year! Sentiment Extreme, Equity Trend Bullish, Fixed Income Bearish, HY Bullish and Gold Bearish - 12-28-2016
By Steve Blumenthal December 28, 2016 S&P 500 Index -- 2,262 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >
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