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Trade Signals — No Signal Changes Since Last Week - 10-18-2017

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By Steve Blumenthal October 18, 2017 S&P 500 Index -- 2,559 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Risk Management for All Markets - 10-13-2017

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October 13, 2017 By Steve Blumenthal “Long-term Investors need to be invested in long-term assets, but pay special attention to limiting downside losses. The best way to make money in the long term is not losing it in the short term.” – Dr. David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist J.P. Morgan Asset [...]Read More >

Trade Signals — The Bull Market in Everything - 10-11-2017

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By Steve Blumenthal October 11, 2017 S&P 500 Index -- 2,551 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

On My Radar: The Great Central Bank Unwind - 10-6-2017

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October 6, 2017 By Steve Blumenthal "We think the main attribute of the next crisis will be severe liquidity disruptions resulting from market developments since the last crisis." - Marko Kolanovic, Ph.D., Head of Quantitative and Derivatives Strategy, JP Morgan Chase & Co. (Source: The [...]Read More >

Trade Signals — Looking Good and Feeling Good (Extreme Investor Optimism Once Again, Yet Trend Trumps Sentiment) - 10-4-2017

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By Steve Blumenthal October 4, 2017 S&P 500 Index -- 2,539 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Trust, Commitment and Love - 09-29-2017

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September 29, 2017 By Steve Blumenthal “It isn’t what’s in my head that’s most valuable, although I did learn a lot along the way; it’s knowing how to deal with not knowing that’s been the source of my success.” – Ray Dalio I’d like to take you to two places today.  One is life and the pursuit [...]Read More >

Trade Signals — A Look at Margin Debt and Its Trend - 09-27-2017

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By Steve Blumenthal September 27, 2017 S&P 500 Index -- 2,497 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

On My Radar: The Flow That Conquers All - 09-22-2017

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September 22, 2017 By Steve Blumenthal “The message from a string of BIS [Bank of International Settlements] reports is that the US dollar is both the barometer and agent of global risk appetite and credit leverage. Episodes of dollar weakness - such as this year - flush the world with liquidity [...]Read More >

Trade Signals — Inching Higher in Bull Market Trend - 09-20-2017

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By Steve Blumenthal September 20, 2017 S&P 500 Index -- 2,507 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Forward We Go - 09-15-2017

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September 15, 2017 By Stephen Blumenthal “While asset prices have decoupled from fundamentals, the gap has been filled by quantitative easing, large cash reserves by corporations and worsening inequality.” - Mohamed El-Erian: In Investing, The Journey Is Not The Destination Last week, investors [...]Read More >

Trade Signals — Equity and Fixed Income Price Trends Remain Bullish - 09-13-2017

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By Steve Blumenthal September 13, 2017 S&P 500 Index -- 2,495 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Breathtaking Risks Yet Bullish Trend Persists - 09-8-2017

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September 8, 2017 By Steve Blumenthal “Expect lower returns and rocky markets for the next 2-3 years.” > Joe Davis, Global Chief Economist, Vanguard Group I’m writing to you from Chicago where I am attending the Morningstar ETF Conference.  Vanguard’s global chief economist, Joe Davis, kicked [...]Read More >

Trade Signals — Secular Bull Markets Occurred Just 54% of the Time Since 1900 - 09-6-2017

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By Steve Blumenthal September 6, 2017 S&P 500 Index -- 2,464 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Random Acts of Kindness - 09-1-2017

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September 1, 2017 By Steve Blumenthal “No act of kindness is too small.  The gift of kindness may start as a small ripple that over time can turn into a tidal wave affecting the lives of many.” Kevin Heath The car is loaded with clean clothes and dog food.  I’m heading out mid-morning to help [...]Read More >

Trade Signals — Gold Looks Good - 08-30-2017

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By Steve Blumenthal August 30, 2017 S&P 500 Index -- 2,446 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

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