September 18, 2015 By Steve Blumenthal “The effect of years of zero interest rate policies has been to progressively drive investors toward securities of greater and greater risk, in the belief that “There Is No Alternative” (TINA). In every other market cycle across history, once an “overvalued, [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Cyclical Bear Trend In Place, Sentiment Remains Extremely Pessimistic (ST Bullish) - 09-16-2015
S&P 500 Index 1986 By Steve Blumenthal September 16, 2015 Included in this week’s Trade Signals: Cyclical Equity Market Trend: Sell Signal 1. CMG NDR Large Cap Momentum Index: Sell Signal 2. 13/34-Week EMA on the S&P 500 Index: Sell Signal 3. NDR Big Mo: Neutral – Nearing a [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Valuations, Forward Returns and Recession - 09-11-2015
September 11, 2015 By Steve Blumenthal “Of the nine market declines associated with recessions that started with valuations above the mean, the average decline was -42.8%. Of the four declines that began with valuations below the mean, the average was -19.9%” – Doug Short I don’t believe a [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Extreme Pessimism and No Immediate U.S. Recession Are Two Positives - 09-9-2015
S&P 500 Index 1956 By Steve Blumenthal September 9, 2015 I remain in the “sell the rallies” mind set. Big MO is very close to triggering a sell. Most all other indicators are negative on equities. The Zweig Bond Model is once again bullish on bonds. I’ll update you on the most recent [...]Read More >
Forbes: Welcome To The Opening Round Of The New Bear Market - 09-8-2015
9/3/2015 @ 12:13PM Steve Blumenthal, Contributor CMG Capital Management Group CEO writes about strategies for this new volatile market in his latest Forbes article titled Welcome To The Opening Round Of The New Bear Market. Some excerpts from the piece: “My view: it’s time to “sell the [...]Read More >
On My Radar: A Bumpy Ride? How Bumpy? And For How Long? - 09-4-2015
September 4, 2015 By Steve Blumenthal At the National People’s Congress in Beijing in March 2015, China’s Premier Li Keqiang announced a growth target of 7 percent, acknowledging that “deep-seated problems in the country’s economy are becoming more obvious.” Three months later and thousands [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Extreme Pessimism Supports ST Rally. Trend is Bearish. Sell/Hedge on Rallies. - 09-2-2015
S&P 500 Index 1949 By Steve Blumenthal September 2, 2015 Since last week’s post the S&P 500 Index has rallied 77 points bounce off of last week’s Investor Sentiment Extreme Pessimism low. A gain of 4.11%. Following are several charts that look at the 2011 correction and today. [...]Read More >
On My Radar: We Didn’t Start The Fire - 08-28-2015
August 28, 2015 By Steve Blumenthal Harry Truman, Doris Day, Red China, Johnnie Ray South Pacific, Walter Winchell, Joe DiMaggio Joe McCarthy, Richard Nixon, Studebaker, television North Korea, South Korea, Marilyn Monroe… We didn't start the fire It was always burning Since the world's been [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Weight of Evidence “SELL”, Hedge and Raise Cash on Rallies - 08-26-2015
S&P 500 Index 1872 By Steve Blumenthal August 26, 2015 Investor pessimism has reached extreme levels – expect a bounce. That’s the positive news. If you are not hedging your equity exposure, then it may make sense to raise cash on the coming rally. Use rallies to raise cash. Find a [...]Read More >
On My Radar: An Optimist Sees The Opportunity In Every Difficulty - 08-21-2015
August 21, 2015 By Steve Blumenthal “A pessimist sees the difficulty in every opportunity; an optimist sees the opportunity in every difficulty.” - Winston Churchill Perhaps it is my early business roots that set my orientation towards a trading approach to the markets. Some of our clients take [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Temperatures Rising – Ramping Up The Risk Barometer - 08-19-2015
S&P 500 Index 2089 By Steve Blumenthal August 19, 2015 I’m moving up the level of risk due to several factors: One is a change in signal on volume demand vs. volume supply. Selling pressure is dominating buying demand, which is a concern in a period of low liquidity. Valuations [...]Read More >
Pain in High Yield Worsens - 08-19-2015
August 19, 2015, 10:26 A.M. ET By Amey Stone CMG Capital Management Group CEO Steve Blumenthal talks to Barron’s “Income Investing” columnist Amey Stone about high yield bonds. Excerpt below from the Barron’s story Pain in High Yield Worsens: "Steve Blumenthal, CEO of CMG Capital Management [...]Read More >
On My Radar: China’s Surprise – Power To The Dollar - 08-14-2015
August 14, 2015 By Steve Blumenthal “Something is deeply wrong if an economy is not growing, because it means these natural processes are impeded. That is why around the world, since the Dark Ages, lack of growth has been a signal of political oppression or instability. Absent such sickness, [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Extreme Pessimism (Bullish), Zweig Bond Model Says Stay Long Bonds - 08-12-2015
S&P 500 Index 2063 By Steve Blumenthal August 12, 2015 I believe China’s surprise Yuan devaluation keeps the Fed on hold. Raising rates will further strengthen the dollar. A stronger dollar may ultimately be our greatest market risk – triggering crisis in the $9 trillion EM U.S. [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Margin Debt, Valuations and Vacation - 08-7-2015
August 7, 2015 By Steve Blumenthal “Twenty years from now you will be more disappointed by the things that you didn’t do than by the ones you did do, so throw off the bowlines, sail away from safe harbor, catch the trade winds in your sails. Explore, Dream, Discover." –Mark Twain A question [...]Read More >
- « Previous Page
- 1
- …
- 52
- 53
- 54
- 55
- 56
- …
- 66
- Next Page »