By Steve Blumenthal April 11, 2018 S&P 500 Index -- 2,652 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Mauldin Economics 2018 SIC (Part 4) – Louis-Vincent Gave: China’s Game-Changing Policy Shifts - 04-6-2018
April 6, 2018 By Steve Blumenthal “The deflationary period we’ve been in has come to an end.” – Louis-Vincent Gave, Founding Partner & CEO, Gavekal Research China and Trump escalated the Trade War fist fight this week and the markets are having trouble digesting the dire news. Is Trump [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – A Special Note on Recent Market Volatility & Latest Signals - 04-4-2018
By Steve Blumenthal April 4, 2018 S&P 500 Index -- 2,580 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Mauldin Economics 2018 SIC (Part 3) – Jeffrey Gundlach, “Inflation is Inflationary” - 03-29-2018
March 29, 2018 By Steve Blumenthal “I’m bullish on commodities because we are late cycle… You can argue how late we are in the cycle but we are late cycle. The bond bulls will argue there is more room to run, but nobody is going to say we are in the first inning or the third inning of an [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Testing 200-Day MA, Fixed Income Bearish, High Inflation Pressure - 03-28-2018
By Steve Blumenthal March 28, 2018 S&P 500 Index -- 2,612 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Mauldin Economics 2018 SIC (Part 2) – Dr. Lacy Hunt, “Economic Theory Matters, Especially So Now” - 03-23-2018
March 23, 2018 By Steve Blumenthal “There are two bubbles: We have a stock market bubble and we have a bond market bubble… What’s behind the bubble? Well, the fact is that essentially we’re beginning to run an ever-larger government deficit. As a share of GDP debt has been rising very [...]Read More >
Trade Signals — Equity Market Maintains Course; Caution Urged Due to Likely Interest Rate Increase - 03-21-2018
By Steve Blumenthal March 21, 2018 S&P 500 Index -- 2,714.99 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Mauldin Economics 2018 SIC (Part 1) – David Rosenberg, Skunk at the Picnic - 03-16-2018
March 16, 2018 By Steve Blumenthal “A period of stability induces behavioral responses that erode margins of safety, reduce liquidity, raise cash flow commitments relative to income and profits, and raise the price of risky relative to safe assets – all combining to weaken the ability of the [...]Read More >
Trade Signals — Trade Signals Remain Bullish on Equities & Bearish on Bonds - 03-14-2018
By Steve Blumenthal March 14, 2018 S&P 500 Index -- 2,750 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >
On My Radar: The Mauldin Economics 2018 Strategic Investment Conference (Introduction) - 03-9-2018
March 9, 2018 By Steve Blumenthal “Invest in things that have never happened before, hedge for regression to the mean and plan for the unimaginable.” ― John Burbank, Passport Capital Mauldin Economics SIC 2018 “When the Fed moves in one direction they are ultimately laying the seeds for [...]Read More >
Trade Signals — No Changes Since Last Week; Equity Trend Persists - 03-8-2018
By Steve Blumenthal March 8, 2018 S&P 500 Index -- 2,732 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >
On My Radar: The Fed, Kuroda, Trump On Trade and Gary Cohn - 03-2-2018
March 2, 2018 By Steve Blumenthal “The greatest mistake of the individual investor is to think that a market that did well is a good market rather than a more expensive market.” - Ray Dalio “Volatility is an instrument of truth, and the more you deny the truth, the more the truth will [...]Read More >
Trade Signals — Bullish Equity Trend Rolls On; Fixed Income Signals Remain Bearish - 02-28-2018
By Steve Blumenthal February 28, 2018 S&P 500 Index -- 2,738 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Storming! Temperature’s Rising - 02-23-2018
February 23, 2018 By Steve Blumenthal “Remember teamwork begins by building trust. And the only way to do that is to overcome our need for invulnerability.” ― Patrick Lencioni The Five Dysfunctions of a Team: A Leadership Fable I know I frustrate my team more often than I care to admit. My [...]Read More >
Trade Signals: A Look at the 200-Day MA Rule and Current Signals - 02-21-2018
By Steve Blumenthal February 21, 2018 S&P 500 Index -- 2,716 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >
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