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Research & Insight

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Since 1992, CMG has embraced uncommon solutions – the application of tactical investments as part of a progressive diversification philosophy – to help investors successfully navigate the challenges of today’s investment world.

To enlighten those decisions, we make our insights, opinions, and research available in a variety of forms: Newsletters, white papers, economic commentary and weekly market updates. It’s a great library of information and it’s open 24/7/365. That way, you can drop by anytime.

  • On My RadarSteve's weekly debriefing identifies the most relevant market events of the past week and discusses how he sees these events impacting the market.See all On My Radar debriefings
  • Trade SignalsFocused on identifying the short, intermediate and long-term trends in the investment markets: equities, fixed income, currencies, commodities and gold. See all Trade Signals

Most Recent Stories

On My Radar: Probability of Recession, Austrian Economics and Dr Lacy Hunt - 12-6-2024

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  December 6, 2024 By Steve Blumenthal "If I have been able to see farther than others, it was because I stood on the shoulders of giants." - Sir Isaac Newton Despite current indicators suggesting a low probability of an imminent U.S. recession, it's prudent to remember that [...]Read More >

On My Radar: What’s Coming - 11-22-2024

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  November 22, 2024 By Steve Blumenthal "If you are not aggressive, you are not going to make money, and if you are not defensive, you are not going to keep money." - Ray Dalio, Founder, CIO Mentor, and Member of the Board Bridgewater Associates It's hard to believe we’ve landed on [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Contrasting Economic Outlooks – Inflation Vs Disinflation (Which Will We Get?) - 11-15-2024

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  November 15, 2024 By Steve Blumenthal "It isn't what we don't know that gives us trouble; it's what we know that ain't so." - Will Rogers (November 4, 1879 – August 15, 1935) Today, let's put some hard numbers into play and then game theory the economic implications going forward. [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Ever Forward! - 11-8-2024

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  November 8, 2024 By Steve Blumenthal "This is much bigger than politics; this is a cultural moment."  — Dr. Pippa Malmgren The results are in. The stock market took off like a rocket ship, and interest rates shot higher. Like it or not, it's primarily red across the board. Trump is [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Great Powers Index 2024 – The Most Important Facts and Charts - 11-1-2024

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  November 1, 2024 By Steve Blumenthal "The Great Powers Index is a very thorough report on each of the leading 24 countries, showing readings for several different categories of well-being with many measures of each category.  It also uses these measures to provide a prognosis for the [...]Read More >

On My Radar: All Roads Lead to Inflation - 10-25-2024

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  October 25, 2024 By Steve Blumenthal "A failure to correct unsustainable fiscal trajectories poses major risks to growth, inflation, and financial stability." — Augustine Carstens, General Manager, Bank of International Settlements, October 22, 2024 Yes, precisely what he [...]Read More >

On My Radar: AI Venture Capital - 10-18-2024

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  October 18, 2024 By Steve Blumenthal "When you're easing into a meltup in financial markets, and we have the fiscal policy we have going forward, it's certainly a risk. And I just think it's a mistake not to be taking that risk into account." — Stanley Drunkenmiller, Bloomberg [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Bond, Junk Bond - 10-11-2024

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  October 11, 2024 By Steve Blumenthal "Bottom line, yields across the curve are at the highs of the day with the 10 yr yield now at 4.07%, the highest since late July. While the Fed’s aggressive rate cut, the China stimulus news, and the better-than-expected jobs report are likely [...]Read More >

On My Radar: The Inverted Yield Curve, China, and a Look at 60/40 - 10-4-2024

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  October 4, 2024 By Steve Blumenthal "This beautiful deleveraging can only be done in countries that have most of their bad debts denominated in their own currencies and have most of the debtors and creditors as their own citizens, which is the case for China. Doing a deleveraging in [...]Read More >

On My Radar: China’s QE, Big Picture-Forward Outlook - 09-27-2024

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  September 27, 2024 By Steve Blumenthal "The earlier you find your passion, the better—because it won’t seem like a chore to follow your dream, and you’ll outwork everyone in the process." — Todd Combs Every week, I sift through the noise, searching for research that genuinely [...]Read More >

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Important disclosure information: This website, and above links, contains information that has multiple authors and will offer multiple opinions on topics of interest. Any original written material on this website, either authored by CMG staff or external authors, are strictly the opinion of the author and not of CMG. If you find material that is inaccurate or defaming in any way, please contact us.

No Solicitation or Investment Advice: The material contained on this website is for informational purposes only and CMG is not soliciting any action based upon such material. The material is not to be construed as an offer or a recommendation to buy or sell a security nor is it to be construed as investment advice. Additionally, the material accessible through this website does not constitute a representation that the investments described herein are suitable or appropriate for any person.
Various links on this site will allow you to leave the CMG Web site. The linked sites are not under the control of CMG, and CMG is not responsible for the contents of any linked site or any link contained in a linked site, or any changes or updates to such sites. CMG is not responsible for any correspondence via email or any other medium, email list servers, webcasting or any other form of transmission received from any linked site. Links to external sources do not imply any official endorsement by CMG or the opinions, ideas or information contained therein, nor guarantees the validity, completeness or utility of the information provided. Reference herein to any products, services, processes, hypertext links to third parties or other information does not necessarily constitute or imply endorsement, sponsorship or recommendation. CMG shall not be held liable for improper or incorrect use of data or information contained in any electronic publications. Data, information, and related graphics contained in electronic publications are not legal documents and are not intended to be used as such. CMG gives no warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability, utility or completeness of any information contained in any electronic document.

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