April 14, 2023 By Steve Blumenthal "Would I say there will never, ever be another financial crisis? You know, probably that would be going too far, but I do think we're much safer, and I hope that it will not be in our lifetimes, and I don't believe it will be." - Janet Yellen on [...]Read More >

  April 7, 2023 By Steve Blumenthal “If you took our top fifteen decisions out, we'd have a pretty average record. It wasn't hyperactivity, but a hell of a lot of patience. You stuck to your principles and when opportunities came along, you pounced on them with vigor." - Charlie [...]Read More >

  March 31, 2023 By Steve Blumenthal “Quantitative easing ‘worked’ by flooding the economy with so much zero-interest base money that investors lost their minds, driving even long-term interest rates to record-low levels, and driving our most reliable stock market valuation measures [...]Read More >

  March 24, 2023 By Steve Blumenthal “Swing your swing. Not some idea of a swing. Not a swing you saw on TV. Not that swing you wish you had. No, swing your swing. Capable of greatness. Prized only by you. Perfect in its imperfection. Swing your swing. I know, I did.” - Arnold [...]Read More >

  March 17, 2023 By Steve Blumenthal “The last two years [are] one of the biggest policy mistakes in the 110-year history of the Fed, by staying so easy when everything was booming,” - Jeremy Siegel “My problem with the Fed, overall, is there’s too many academics in the mix,” said [...]Read More >

  March 10, 2023 By Steve Blumenthal “It is not true that people stop pursuing dreams because they grow old, they grow old because they stop pursuing dreams.” – The Gabriel García Márquez (March 6, 1927 – April 17, 2014) This morning, February payrolls came in 85,000 jobs higher [...]Read More >

  March 3, 2023 By Steve Blumenthal “If they stand behind you, defend them. If they stand next to you, respect them, If they stand against you, defeat them.” – The Wolf's Crede I attend several investment conferences every year, and the best one, hands down, is the conference [...]Read More >

  February 24, 2023 By Steve Blumenthal “We find no instance in which a central [bank]–induced disinflation occurred without a recession. [. . .] Simulations of our baseline model suggest that the Fed will need to tighten policy significantly further to achieve its inflation [...]Read More >

Markets move in cycles, and cycles will always exist. Trade Signals provides a weekly snapshot of current stock, bond, currency, and gold market trends. Trade Signals is a summary of technical indicators to help you identify where we sit in short, intermediate, and long-term cycles. We track [...]Read More >

  February 17, 2023 By Steve Blumenthal “I don’t think what we’re going through right now is just a normal cycle fluctuation. For over forty years we were in an environment with declining interest rates, and for the last thirteen years, we had this benign, accommodative environment. [...]Read More >

Trade Signals, by Steve Blumenthal February 15, 2023, S&P 500 Index --4,117 Markets move in cycles, and cycles will always exist. Trade Signals provides a weekly snapshot of current stock, bond, currency, and gold market trends. Trade Signals is a summary of technical indicators to help you [...]Read More >

  February 10, 2023 By Steve Blumenthal “The Money-Credit-Debt-Markets-Economic Cycles: In my opinion the tightening that began in March 2022 ended the last paradigm in which central banks gave away money and credit essentially for free, which was great for the borrower-debtors. We [...]Read More >

Trade Signals, by Steve Blumenthal February 8, 2023, S&P 500 Index --4,118 Markets move in cycles, and cycles will always exist. Trade Signals provides a weekly snapshot of current stock, bond, currency, and gold market trends. Trade Signals is a summary of technical indicators to help you [...]Read More >

  February 3, 2023 By Steve Blumenthal “Over the past year, the S&P 500 has retreated only modestly from its January 2022 speculative peak, yet interest rates have normalized to a much greater extent. That, in my view, is probably the most dangerous aspect of the current market [...]Read More >

Trade Signals, by Steve Blumenthal February 1, 2023, S&P 500 Index --4,119 Markets move in cycles, and cycles will always exist. Trade Signals provides a weekly snapshot of current stock, bond, currency, and gold market trends. Trade Signals is a summary of technical indicators to help you [...]Read More >