March 3, 2023 By Steve Blumenthal “If they stand behind you, defend them. If they stand next to you, respect them, If they stand against you, defeat them.” – The Wolf's Crede I attend several investment conferences every year, and the best one, hands down, is the conference [...]Read More >

  February 24, 2023 By Steve Blumenthal “We find no instance in which a central [bank]–induced disinflation occurred without a recession. [. . .] Simulations of our baseline model suggest that the Fed will need to tighten policy significantly further to achieve its inflation [...]Read More >

Markets move in cycles, and cycles will always exist. Trade Signals provides a weekly snapshot of current stock, bond, currency, and gold market trends. Trade Signals is a summary of technical indicators to help you identify where we sit in short, intermediate, and long-term cycles. We track [...]Read More >

  February 17, 2023 By Steve Blumenthal “I don’t think what we’re going through right now is just a normal cycle fluctuation. For over forty years we were in an environment with declining interest rates, and for the last thirteen years, we had this benign, accommodative environment. [...]Read More >

Trade Signals, by Steve Blumenthal February 15, 2023, S&P 500 Index --4,117 Markets move in cycles, and cycles will always exist. Trade Signals provides a weekly snapshot of current stock, bond, currency, and gold market trends. Trade Signals is a summary of technical indicators to help you [...]Read More >

  February 10, 2023 By Steve Blumenthal “The Money-Credit-Debt-Markets-Economic Cycles: In my opinion the tightening that began in March 2022 ended the last paradigm in which central banks gave away money and credit essentially for free, which was great for the borrower-debtors. We [...]Read More >

Trade Signals, by Steve Blumenthal February 8, 2023, S&P 500 Index --4,118 Markets move in cycles, and cycles will always exist. Trade Signals provides a weekly snapshot of current stock, bond, currency, and gold market trends. Trade Signals is a summary of technical indicators to help you [...]Read More >

  February 3, 2023 By Steve Blumenthal “Over the past year, the S&P 500 has retreated only modestly from its January 2022 speculative peak, yet interest rates have normalized to a much greater extent. That, in my view, is probably the most dangerous aspect of the current market [...]Read More >

Trade Signals, by Steve Blumenthal February 1, 2023, S&P 500 Index --4,119 Markets move in cycles, and cycles will always exist. Trade Signals provides a weekly snapshot of current stock, bond, currency, and gold market trends. Trade Signals is a summary of technical indicators to help you [...]Read More >

  January 27, 2023 By Steve Blumenthal “Earnings don't move the market; it's the Federal Reserve Board... focus on the Central Banks, and focus on the movement of liquidity... most people in the market are looking for earnings and conventional measures. It's liquidity that moves [...]Read More >

Trade Signals, by Steve Blumenthal January 25, 2023, S&P 500 Index --4,016 Markets move in cycles, and cycles will always exist. Trade Signals provides a weekly snapshot of current stock, bond, currency, and gold market trends. Trade Signals is a summary of technical indicators to help you [...]Read More >

  January 20, 2023 By Steve Blumenthal “Debt crises are inevitable. Throughout history, only a very few well-disciplined countries have avoided debt crises. That’s because lending is never done perfectly and is often done badly due to how the cycle affects people’s psychology to [...]Read More >

Trade Signals, by Steve Blumenthal January 18, 2023, S&P 500 Index --3.929 Markets move in cycles, and cycles will always exist. Trade Signals provides a weekly snapshot of current stock, bond, currency, and gold market trends. Trade Signals is a summary of technical indicators to help you [...]Read More >

  January 13, 2023 By Steve Blumenthal “Inharrent in big crises are opportunities.” – Ian Bremmer I'm on vacation this week, skiing in Snowbird, Utah. The rain kept falling in California, and as the storms moved east, the snow kept falling in Utah. We've had over three feet of [...]Read More >

Trade Signals, by Steve Blumenthal January 11, 2022, S&P 500 Index --3.919 Markets move in cycles, and cycles will always exist. Trade Signals provides a weekly snapshot of current stock, bond, currency, and gold market trends. Trade Signals is a summary of technical indicators to help you [...]Read More >