January 27, 2017 By Steve Blumenthal “We tend to hang onto our views too long simply because we spent time and effort coming up with those views in the first place. This leads to confirmation bias and an anchoring to strongly held beliefs even if the evidence fails to support them anymore.” - [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal January 25, 2017 S&P 500 Index -- 2,280 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

January 20, 2017 By Steve Blumenthal “I can’t change the direction of the wind, but I can adjust my sails to always reach my destination.” Jimmy Dean, American Country Music Singer Today Donald J. Trump was sworn in as the 45th President of the United States.  President Trump steps to center [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal January 18, 2017 S&P 500 Index -- 2,269 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

January 13, 2017 By Steve Blumenthal “Don't be afraid of change for it is the catalyst of opportunity.” – Unknown We want it short, we want it easy to understand and we want it right.  Here’s my best guess: U.S. stocks will remain in an uptrend fueled by a strong dollar Tax cuts, [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal January 12, 2017 S&P 500 Index -- 2,265 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

January 6, 2017 By Steve Blumenthal “Promise yourself to be so strong that nothing can disturb your peace of mind.  Look at the sunny side of everything and make your optimism come true. Think only of the best, work only for the best, and expect only the best.  Forget the mistakes of the past [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal January 4, 2017 S&P 500 Index -- 2,270 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

December 30, 2016 By Steve Blumenthal “The Federal Reserve is not currently forecasting a recession.” - Ben Bernanke (2008) I mentioned last week there would be no OMR this week.  Well, against my wife Susan’s best advice (to take the week off), following is a short post I hope you find [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal December 28, 2016 S&P 500 Index -- 2,262 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

December 23, 2016 By Steve Blumenthal “Stay wary, alert and very, very nimble.” – Art Cashin Managing Director, UBS Financial Services I read Art’s letter almost every day and, boy, do I enjoy his wit, his compassion and his brains.  In the spirit of Christmas, his post this morning was [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal December 21, 2016 S&P 500 Index -- 2,267 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

December 16, 2016 By Steve Blumenthal “Earnings don’t move the overall market; it’s the Federal Reserve Board… focus on the central banks and focus on the movement of liquidity… most people in the market are looking for earnings and conventional measures.  It’s liquidity that moves markets.” - [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal December 14, 2016 S&P 500 Index -- 2,271 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

December 9, 2016 By Steve Blumenthal “If you're not getting better, you're getting worse.” - Walter Bahr PSU Coach Walter Bahr (right) In June 1950, Walter Bahr, a 23-year-old junior high school physical education teacher from Philadelphia, led the United States soccer team to a 1-0 victory [...]Read More >