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On My Radar: Opportunity, Not Crisis, Looms in 2019 - 12-14-2018

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December 14, 2018 By Steve Blumenthal “I think we’re going to see a lot more of what we just saw, which is a lot more volatility, it’s really easy to say ‘I’m really bullish’ or ‘I’m really bearish.’ I kind of see a two-sided market.” “I think in the next year it will be, from where we are [...]Read More >

Trade Signals – Extreme Pessimism is S/T Bullish, Equity Trends Continue to Weaken - 12-13-2018

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By Steve Blumenthal December 12, 2018 S&P 500 Index -- 2,651 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

On My Radar: The End of the Beginning - 12-7-2018

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December 7, 2018 By Steve Blumenthal “The training wheels are coming off. Next week, the European Central Bank will conduct its final meeting of 2018 and is widely expected to announce the cessation of its QE asset purchase program. The ECB began buying sovereign bonds in 2015 and added [...]Read More >

Trade Signals – More Evidence of a Bear Market - 12-5-2018

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By Steve Blumenthal December 5, 2018 S&P 500 Index -- 2,668 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

On My Radar: The Big Short - 11-30-2018

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November 30, 2018 By Steve Blumenthal “When it comes to investing, we never know what the future holds or where we are going, but we should do all we can to know where we stand, since the current position of the cycle has powerful implications for how we should cope with its possible future.” – [...]Read More >

Trade Signals – Likely Global Recession, Equity Trend Weakening, Fixed Income Signals Remain in Sell, No Sign of U.S. Recession - 11-28-2018

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By Steve Blumenthal November 28, 2018 S&P 500 Index -- 2,744 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

Trade Signals – Equity Trend Weakening, Fixed Income Trend Remains in Sell and Happy Thanksgiving - 11-21-2018

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By Steve Blumenthal November 21, 2018 S&P 500 Index -- 2,657 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Stan Druckenmiller – Pieces of the Puzzle - 11-16-2018

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November 16, 2018 By Steve Blumenthal "All I want out of life is that when I walk down the street, folks will say, 'There goes the greatest hitter that ever lived.'" – Ted Williams Ted Williams hit .344 lifetime and won six American League batting titles, despite losing five years to military [...]Read More >

Trade Signals – No Major Changes to Signals; Equity Signals Remain in Buy, Though Weakening - 11-14-2018

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By Steve Blumenthal November 14, 2018 S&P 500 Index -- 2,737 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Pride and Joy - 11-9-2018

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November 9, 2018 By Steve Blumenthal “… [W]e cannot do everything ourselves; different people are more capable in different matters… [I]n cases where we ourselves cannot be present, the vicarious faith of friends is substituted; and he who impairs that confidence, attacks the common bulwark of [...]Read More >

Trade Signals – Equity Trend Rolls; Fixed Income Stalled in a Sell; Don’t Fight the Tape Moves to Neutral Signal - 11-7-2018

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By Steve Blumenthal November 7, 2018 S&P 500 Index -- 2,774 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Take the Shot - 11-2-2018

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November 2, 2018 By Steve Blumenthal “I’ve missed more than 9,000 shots in my career. I’ve lost almost 300 games. Twenty-six times I’ve been trusted to take the game-winning shot and missed. I’ve failed over and over and over again in my life. And that is why I succeed.” – Michael Jordan The [...]Read More >

Trade Signals – Short-term Bottom Appears in Place - 10-31-2018

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By Steve Blumenthal October 31, 2018 S&P 500 Index -- 2,717 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Critical Tipping Points – A Dashboard of Indicators (Part II) - 10-26-2018

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October 26, 2018 By Steve Blumenthal “It is essential for everyone to understand the logical sequence of events that makes these (big debt crises) all play out all the same.” – Ray Dalio “Years of monumental Quantitative Easing / Negative Interest Rates monetary policy affected the behavioral [...]Read More >

Trade Signals – Extreme Investor Pessimism S/T Bullish For Equities, Equity Trend Modestly Bullish, Bond Trend Bearish - 10-24-2018

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By Steve Blumenthal October 24, 2018 S&P 500 Index -- 2,737 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

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