By Steve Blumenthal August 19, 2020 S&P 500 Index -- 3,392 (open) Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in [...]Read More >
On My Radar: The Pandemic and Debt - 08-14-2020
August 14, 2020 By Steve Blumenthal “It’s a battle between the Fed’s $750 billion SPV to buy corporate IG and HY bonds and those who don’t have access to this free money. And funds, like mine, are buying what the Fed is buying. Thus, the oversubscription of new offerings. ETFs must put the [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Buffett’s Favorite Valuation Indicator at Record Extreme Overvaluation - 08-12-2020
By Steve Blumenthal August 12, 2020 S&P 500 Index -- 3,355 (open) Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Valuations and Coming Returns - 08-7-2020
August 7, 2020 By Steve Blumenthal “The intelligent investor is a realist who sells to optimists and buys from pessimists.” “In the short run, the market is a voting machine but in the long run, it is a weighing machine.” - Benjamin Graham, “the Father of Value Investing” and Author of The [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Gold’s Hot, Recession Conditions and Sentiment Updates - 08-6-2020
By Steve Blumenthal August 6, 2020 S&P 500 Index -- 3,327 (close) Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in [...]Read More >
On My Radar: On Deflation - 07-31-2020
July 31, 2020 By Steve Blumenthal News flash: The 10-year Treasury yield falls to 0.52% after record GDP contraction. The yield on the 30-year Treasury bond was lower at 1.18%. The bond market has it right. Every weekday, an Axios Markets email hits my inbox. This morning’s post caught my [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Stocks, Bonds, and Gold Continue Rise as COVID-19 Maintains Grip on US - 07-29-2020
By Steve Blumenthal July 29, 2020 S&P 500 Index -- 3,227 (open) Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Regression to Trend - 07-24-2020
July 24, 2020 By Steve Blumenthal “For those clinging to the recovery narrative, I just don’t see it.” – David Rosenberg, President and Chief Economist & Strategist, Rosenberg Research Last week we took a look at coming return probabilities, which showed the expected 10-year future return [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – NASDAQ 100 Index Relative to S&P 500 Index (1999 Tech Bubble) - 07-22-2020
By Steve Blumenthal July 22, 2020 S&P 500 Index -- 3,254 (open) Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in [...]Read More >
On My Radar: An Infinitely Complex & Interconnected Global Financial System - 07-17-2020
July 17, 2020 By Steve Blumenthal “We believe the corona crisis is the most disruptive global event since World War II, and far surpasses the trauma of the 2007-2009 Great Recession.” – A. Gary Shilling, financial analyst and commentator, Insight As you read today, keep this important point [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Equities Continue Climb with Uncertain Domestic Economy - 07-15-2020
By Steve Blumenthal July 15, 2020 S&P 500 Index -- 3,225 (open) Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Mauldin Economics Virtual SIC 2020 – Catherine Wood - 07-10-2020
July 10, 2020 By Steve Blumenthal “My experience in this business is if everyone is running in one direction and you start to run in the other, and you seem crazy, if you're right, the rewards are enormous.” – Catherine Wood, Founder, CEO, CIO, and Portfolio Manager, ARK Investment Management [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – TINA? How About Gold? - 07-8-2020
By Steve Blumenthal July 8, 2020 S&P 500 Index -- 3,153 (open) Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in [...]Read More >
On My Radar: R.I.P. Capitalism (For Now) - 07-2-2020
July 2, 2020 By Steve Blumenthal “I don’t see us wanting to run through the bond market like an elephant, you know, doing things and snuffing out price signals or things like that. We just want to be there if things turn bad in the economy or if things go in a negative direction, we want to [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – If Things Turn Bad (Jerome Powell) - 07-1-2020
By Steve Blumenthal July 1, 2020 S&P 500 Index -- 3,115 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk [...]Read More >
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