By Steve Blumenthal July 14, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 3,771 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of various Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic, and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Inflation and Gold
July 8, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal “We’re now on a path to raise rates half a percent at a time until rates reach an arbitrarily determined, neutral level of around 2.5–3%. This gentle response is akin to trying to clear out your snow-covered driveway with an ice cream scooper.” – David Einhorn, [...]Read More >
Trade Signals: Avoiding Recession
By Steve Blumenthal July 7, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 3,895 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of various Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic, and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return investors [...]Read More >
On My Radar: A Mid-Year Look at Valuations and Future Returns (Better)
July 1, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal “Adjusting for inflation, first half S&P 500 down 25-26%, NASDAQ down 34-35%, Bitcoin down 64-65%. That was multiple compression, next up earnings compression so maybe halfway there.” – Michael Burry @MichaelJBurry If quantitative easing helped the stock [...]Read More >
Trade Signals: 300+ Ph.D.’s? The Fed is Guessing!!!
By Steve Blumenthal June 29, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 3,819 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of various Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic, and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Stanley Druckenmiller
June 24, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal “Do not, do NOT invest in the present; the present is not what moves stock prices, change does.” “It's not about whether you are right or wrong, but about how much you make when you are right, and how much you lose when you are wrong.” – Stanley Druckenmiller, [...]Read More >
Trade Signals: Hard Economic Landing
By Steve Blumenthal June 23, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 3,795 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of various Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic, and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Investing Like Harvard and Yale
June 17, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal “The risks of a debt bubble breaking and the rest of an equity bubble breaking have simply not been understood by our Federal Reserve since Paul Volcker. They are incredibly naive. They haven't even got a clue. They're not even interested in the idea. Bernanke [...]Read More >
Trade Signals: Recession Is On The Horizon
By Steve Blumenthal June 16, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 3,790 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of various Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic, and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >
Ray Dalio on Inflation, Recession Outlook and Stagflation
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WP7Z1MKNZSM IMPORTANT DISCLOSURE INFORMATION. INFORMATION IS FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY. THE OPINIONS EXPRESSED ARE THOSE OF THE AUTHORS. INVESTING INVOLVES RISK. PAST PERFORMANCE DOES NOT GUARANTEE OR INDICATE FUTURE RESULTS. This presentation is a general [...]Read More >
Ray Dalio and GMO’s Jeremy Grantham on How They’re Seeing the World Right Now
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-qD4kqAarec IMPORTANT DISCLOSURE INFORMATION. INFORMATION IS FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY. THE OPINIONS EXPRESSED ARE THOSE OF THE AUTHORS. INVESTING INVOLVES RISK. PAST PERFORMANCE DOES NOT GUARANTEE OR INDICATE FUTURE RESULTS. This presentation is a general [...]Read More >
The Principles Of Endowment Style Investing
Endowments strive to meet two chief objectives: First, they attempt to generate high enough returns to cover their yearly withdrawals, without dipping into their principals. Secondly, their goal is to preserve their principal. The best-performing endowments access alternative investments, long-short [...]Read More >
Investing Like the Harvard and Yale Endowment Funds
Endowments strive to meet two chief objectives: First, they attempt to generate high enough returns to cover their yearly withdrawals, without dipping into their principals. Secondly, their goal is to preserve their principal. The best-performing endowments access alternative investments, long-short [...]Read More >
On My Radar: SIC2022 – The Grand Finale
June 10, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal “This was the greatest closing panel in the 18-year history of my conferences. Even better than the closing panel food fight between Lacy Hunt, Neil Furguson and Richard Fisher in 2019.” – John Mauldin, Mauldin Economics and CMG's Chief Economist and Co-Portfolio [...]Read More >
Trade Signals: The Equity and Fixed Income Indicators Point Down
By Steve Blumenthal June 9, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 4,081 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of various Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic, and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return investors [...]Read More >
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