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On My Radar: Oil, Gold and Interest on Government Debt

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  December 9, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal “You cannot analyze the market solely as we did in the past 30 years, when we had accelerating globalization, when we had a free capital movement, when we had free movement of people everywhere." – Felix Zulauf, Zulauf Asset Management I spent [...]Read More >

Trade Signals: Felix Zulauf

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Trade Signals, by Steve Blumenthal December 9, 2022 S&P 500 Index --3.959 Posted weekly, Trade Signals summarizes various Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic, and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return investors demand [...]Read More >

Trade Signals: “Fearful When Others Are Greedy”

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Trade Signals, by Steve Blumenthal December 1, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 4,076 Posted weekly, Trade Signals summarizes various Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic, and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return investors [...]Read More >

Trade Signals: Happy Thanksgiving

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Trade Signals, by Steve Blumenthal November 24, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 4,027 Posted weekly, Trade Signals summarizes various Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic, and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return investors [...]Read More >

On My Radar: The Other Side of Bubble Mountain

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  November 11, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal "What we have been anticipating for some time is now here. It is the other side of the bubble mountain." – Paul Elliott Singer, American hedge fund manager, activist investor, philanthropist, and the founder, president, and co-CEO of Elliott [...]Read More >

Trade Signals: The CPI Surprise, Big Picture Update

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By Steve Blumenthal November 11, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 3,956 Posted weekly, Trade Signals summarizes various Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic, and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return investors demand to [...]Read More >

On My Radar: What Powell Really Said

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  November 4, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal "We've have got to get inflation behind us. I wish there were a painless way to do that. There isn't." "The chance of a soft landing is likely to diminish." "The world is not going to be better off if we fail [to get inflation under [...]Read More >

Trade Signals: October Unemployment – A Recession Indicator

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By Steve Blumenthal November 4, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 3,721 Posted weekly, Trade Signals summarizes various Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic, and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return investors demand to [...]Read More >

On My Radar: What Comes Next?

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  October 28, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal "The next stage of the tightening cycle is likely to be an economic slowdown as policymakers work to bring inflation back to target." – Bob Prince, Co-CEO Bridgewater Associates The Fed is in the middle of a tightening cycle. In Bridgewater [...]Read More >

Trade Signals: Nearing Extreme Optimism

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By Steve Blumenthal October 28, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 3,875 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of various Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic, and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Why Last Week Was a Big Deal

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  October 21, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal "About a nanosecond after money and equity and debt were invented, the business of facilitating these transactions was invented. Today we call this business “Wall Street,” but of course it goes back thousands of years, way before there were things [...]Read More >

Trade Signals: “Someone Is Going To Be Offsides”

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By Steve Blumenthal October 20, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 3,666 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of various Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic, and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >