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On My Radar: Start Off by Making Your Bed - 10-31-2014

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October 31, 2014 By Steve Blumenthal “If you want to change the world, start off by making your bed” Admiral William H. McRaven “Have you heard about the Making Your Bed speech”, Susan asks me.  I was sifting through a week’s worth of research trying to figure out what might be meaningful to [...]Read More >

CMG Q3 2014 Quarterly Performance Update - 10-29-2014

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  Dear clients, friends and family: Following is the 2014 third quarter net performance information for CMG’s Tactical Investment Strategies along with our thoughts on each strategy over the past quarter. In addition, we have provided the net performance for the CMG Managed Blends and the [...]Read More >

On My Radar: The Rest of the Story - 10-24-2014

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  October 24, 2014 By Steve Blumenthal Paul Harvey, The Rest of The Story “Years ago a teacher in Detroit asked Stevie Morris to help her find a mouse that was lost in the classroom. You see, she appreciated the fact that nature had given Stevie something no one else in the room had. [...]Read More >

Watch Junk Bonds For Early Warnings Of A New Financial Crisis - 10-17-2014

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October 17, 2014 By Steve Blumenthal “Investors should understand that prices and valuations are high is another way of saying future returns have already been realized, leaving little to be gained for quite some time.” John Hussman In 2005, I was pitched a Bear Stearns leveraged hedge fund that [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Stay Wary, Alert and Very, Very Nimble. - 10-10-2014

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October 10, 2014 By Steve Blumenthal “We’re in a period with many daily (often hourly) points that represent pixels in the market’s picture. The short-run trends (the cyclical cycles) of the market are hard to predict. Without extraordinary powers of clairvoyance, the best plan is a diversified, [...]Read More >

Investor’s Business Daily: ETF Experts Cautious Amid U.S. Economic Strength - 10-1-2014

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September 30, 2014 By Aparna Narayanan Investor's Business Daily CMG CEO Steve Blumenthal shares with IBD his insights into what lies ahead and the top picks for investors who are seeking global exposure and diversification. Excerpt: "Stephen Blumenthal, CEO of CMG Capital Management in [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Higher We Go - 09-5-2014

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September 5, 2014 By Steve Blumenthal Higher we go! While valuation and sentiment data scream caution, trend data and Fed policy tells us to continue the ride. Today, let’s take a look at the latest valuation charts and an updated look at Don’t Fight the Fed or the Tape. As you’ll see, the [...]Read More >

On My Radar: “Very Far From Normal” - 08-22-2014

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August 22, 2014 By Steve Blumenthal To me, the next cyclical market down trend is linked to Fed Policy and the timing of their change in interest rate policy. For now,  I remain in the Don't Fight the Fed or The Trend camp (constructive on equities). So what happens when the Fed raises [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Teach Them to Fly - 08-15-2014

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August 15, 2014 By Steve Blumenthal There is an argument being made that the currently high valuation measures (PE, dividends, price to book, price to sales) are really not so high when you consider that today’s interest rates are so low.  The thinking is that today’s ultra-low interest rates [...]Read More >

On My Radar: The Maybe and When - 08-8-2014

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August 8, 2014 By Steve Blumenthal I was interviewed by a very bright Bloomberg fixed income reporter yesterday.  His area of expertise is high yield credit and he had recently read the piece I wrote for Forbes, Code Red in High Yield.  He jumped right in with question number one, “is this the [...]Read More >

CMG Media Kit - 08-8-2014

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On My Radar: Code Red for High Yield - 07-25-2014

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July 25, 2014 By Steve Blumenthal The risk in the high yield bond market is off the charts.  Yields are near record lows, bonds that shouldn’t be getting funding are and at terms unfriendly to investors.  A default cycle is in sight and unfortunately the nature of liquidity has changed.  This [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Some Hope & Prayer - 07-18-2014

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July 18, 2014 By Steve Blumenthal “See life as a marvelous unfolding of possibilities and blessings!” -Author unknown I’m writing a piece for Forbes about high yield and I’d like to share with you the genesis of the piece (I’ll provide a link for you in next week’s On My Radar).  Simply, yields [...]Read More >

On My Radar: A Debt Trap - 07-11-2014

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July 11, 2014 By Steve Blumenthal I was in Denver this week presenting at a large investor forum.  I shared with the audience two valuation charts I believe you will find interesting. One looks at forward PE (a measure I disfavor). The other is what Warren Buffett called “probably the best [...]Read More >

On My Radar: “Getting on the Check” - 07-3-2014

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June 27, 2014 By Steve Blumenthal Wishing you a wonderful 4th of July holiday weekend.  I share the following in this week’s (shortened) On My Radar: CBS’s 60 Minutes - Steve Kroft reports on the alarming state of the federal disability program What is Tail-Risk Hedging? Trade Signals: [...]Read More >

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