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Trade Signals – Record Share Buybacks, Trend Signals Mostly Positive (HY Sell Signal) - 05-23-2019

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By Steve Blumenthal May 22, 2019 S&P 500 Index -- 2,856 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors demand [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Mauldin Strategic Investment Conference 2019 (Part I – Dr. Lacy Hunt) - 05-17-2019

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May 17, 2019 By Steve Blumenthal “The only outcomes are an orderly restructure or unorderly restructure [of the debts].” - William White Former Chief Economist of the Bank for International Settlements The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) is known as the central banker’s banker. [...]Read More >

Trade Signals – Despite Geopolitical Risks, Equity and Fixed Income Signals Stay Bullish - 05-15-2019

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By Steve Blumenthal May 15, 2019 S&P 500 Index -- 2,820 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors demand [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Valuation Data, Coming Returns, Recession Charts and Mauldin SIC - 05-10-2019

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May 10, 2019 By Steve Blumenthal "Corrections happen during growth-rate cycle slowdowns, they don't require a recession." - Lakshman Achuthan, Economic Cycle Research Institute On Sunday afternoon, I fly to Dallas to attend the 16th annual Mauldin Economics Strategic Investment Conference (SIC). [...]Read More >

Trade Signals – Percentage of Investor Money in Equities Near Record High - 05-8-2019

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By Steve Blumenthal May 8, 2019 S&P 500 Index -- 2,879 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors demand [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Parkinson’s, Stock Buybacks and the Hong Kong Short - 05-3-2019

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May 3, 2019 By Steve Blumenthal “Forty decades of a single market environment tends to create bad investing habits. U.S. interest rates have steadily fallen since 1981. Investors have consistently benefited from using long-term bonds and taking interest rate risk.” – @movement_cap I remember [...]Read More >

Trade Signals – Market Overbought, but Trend Continues to Lean Bullish - 05-1-2019

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By Steve Blumenthal May 1, 2019 S&P 500 Index -- 2,952 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors demand [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Investors are Willing to do Almost Everything; HY Price Trend Holds the Key - 04-26-2019

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April 26, 2019 By Steve Blumenthal “As an investor, you make the most money when you do things that other people aren’t willing to do, like taking risks others shun. Attractive investment opportunities arise when you spot some security or some part of the market being ignored and you come to the [...]Read More >

Trade Signals – Flashing Green - 04-24-2019

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By Steve Blumenthal April 24, 2019 S&P 500 Index -- 2,934 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Peace is Its Own Reward - 04-19-2019

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April 19, 2019 By Steve Blumenthal “Peace is its own reward.” - Mahatma Gandhi This week’s post is holiday-weekend short. Grab that coffee and find your favorite chair. You’ll find a simple chart that shows the history of cyclical bull and bear markets (with returns before and after inflation). [...]Read More >

Trade Signals – Extreme Optimism, Resistance at Highs, Sell in May and Go Away? - 04-17-2019

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By Steve Blumenthal April 17, 2019 S&P 500 Index -- 2,878 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Delicate Moment - 04-12-2019

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April 12, 2019 By Steve Blumenthal "The economy is a collection of emotions." - Kenneth Langone Speaking to first-year NYU medical students, Kenneth G. Langone and his wife, Elaine, stepped to the podium. Their announcement shook the room. “From this point on, NYU Medical School is tuition-free [...]Read More >

Trade Signals – Trend Evidence Remains Moderately Bullish for HY, Equities and FI - 04-10-2019

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By Steve Blumenthal April 10, 2019 S&P 500 Index -- 2,878 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Recession Obsession and Why It Matters - 04-5-2019

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April 5, 2019 By Steve Blumenthal “Meanwhile, over the past 10 years, low interest rates meant that we kept bringing tomorrow’s growth forward to today. Unfortunately, we may now have run out of tomorrow’s growth, and are about to start to regret eating today’s growth yesterday.” – [...]Read More >

Trade Signals – Golden Cross (50- vs. 200-day MA), Sentiment and Bond Trend - 04-3-2019

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By Steve Blumenthal April 3, 2019 S&P 500 Index -- 2,867 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

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