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On My Radar: Current Valuations and Possible Future Returns (2022 to 2032) - 01-21-2022

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January 21, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal “I don’t think the Federal Reserve and this leadership has the stamina to act decisively. In order to turn the market around to a more non-inflationary attitude, you have to shock the market. You can’t raise interest rates bit by bit.” - Dr. Henry [...]Read More >

Trade Signals – Zweig Bond Model, Margin Debt Rate-of-Change and Global Recession Model Signaling Caution - 01-19-2022

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By Steve Blumenthal January 19, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 4,570 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Investors are “All In” – 71% Stocks, 15% Cash, 14% Bonds - 01-14-2022

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January 14, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal “Inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon in the sense that it is and can be produced only by a more rapid increase in the quantity of money than in output.” – Milton Friedman (July 31, 1912 – November 16, 2006), American [...]Read More >

Trade Signals – Equity Signals Remain Bullish; Fixed Income Signal Moves to Sell - 01-14-2022

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By Steve Blumenthal January 12, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 4,793 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Tough Love in Fed Minutes - 01-7-2022

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January 7, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal “An optimist understands that life can be a bumpy road, but at least it is leading somewhere. They learn from mistakes and failures and are not afraid to fail again.” – Harvey McKay, seven-time New York Times best-selling author of "Swim With The Sharks [...]Read More >

Trade Signals – Tough Love in Fed Minutes - 01-5-2022

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By Steve Blumenthal January 5, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 4,793 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >

On My Radar: 2022 Investment Outlook - 12-31-2021

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December 31, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal “In my view, modern monetary theory ("MMT") has been tried, tested, and failed.” - Dr. Lacy Hunt, Executive Vice President, Hoisington Investment Management Company Let me begin by wishing you a Happy New Year. Today, I share an outstanding discussion. Camp [...]Read More >

Trade Signals – 2022 Investment Outlook - 12-29-2021

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By Steve Blumenthal December 29, 2021 S&P 500 Index -- 4,793 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >

Trade Signals – Merry Christmas: An All-Time Record High for SPY - 12-23-2021

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By Steve Blumenthal December 22, 2021 S&P 500 Index -- 4,734 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >

On My Radar: The Fed, Valuations, and Genius - 12-17-2021

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December 17, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal “I would say, asset valuations... are somewhat elevated.” - Federal Reserve Board Chair Jerome Powell, Wednesday, December 15, 2021 One part of today’s On My Radar missive is dull, the second is obvious, and the third is outright intoxicating. We’ll look at [...]Read More >

Trade Signals – Fed to Aggressively Dial Back Bond Buying, Sees Three Rate Hikes in 2022 - 12-15-2021

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By Steve Blumenthal December 15, 2021 S&P 500 Index -- 4,687 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >

On My Radar: A Game of Chess - 12-10-2021

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December 10, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal “Like a chess player, one has to observe the enemy’s moves as well as one’s own.” ― Muhammad ibn Ali ibn Sulayman al-Rawandi, Rahat al-Sudur wa Ayat al-Surur (AD 1202-07) Russia, China, and Iran. Important developments this week that are worth our [...]Read More >

Trade Signals – Don’t Fight the Tape or the Fed - 12-10-2021

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By Steve Blumenthal December 8, 2021 S&P 500 Index -- 4,687 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >

On My Radar: London Calling - 12-3-2021

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December 3, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal "If you don't do it this year, you'll be one year older when you do." ― Warren Miller, American ski and snowboarding filmmaker By the time today's OMR hits your inbox, I'll be in a pub in London with my son Kyle. Kyle's a senior in college and is doing a [...]Read More >

Trade Signals – Time to Retire the Word “Transitory” - 12-1-2021

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By Steve Blumenthal December 1, 2021 S&P 500 Index -- 4,675 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >

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