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On My Radar: What Was Coming is Now Here - 05-6-2022

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May 6, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal “MP3 reflationary policies produced massive injections of money and credit into economies, leading to high nominal growth, leading to self-reinforcing inflation, leading to a tightening of monetary policy which is now just beginning. Stagflation is the big risk and [...]Read More >

Trade Signals: Ten Year Treasury Tops 3%, Dr Copper Signals Economic Downturn, The ZBM and MACD Indicators Say Not Just Yet - 05-4-2022

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By Steve Blumenthal May 4, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 4,163 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of various Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic, and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return investors [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Mauldin’s – Into the Fire - 04-29-2022

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April 29, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal “This is not the only time in his­tory that they’ve been be­hind, but they are strik­ingly be­hind. They need to catch up and do it in a sys­tem­atic and un­der­stand­able way.” – John Taylor, Mary and Robert Raymond Professor of Economics, Stanford University, [...]Read More >

Trade Signals: High Yield Leads Stocks, Stocks Lead The Economy, Recession Follows Last - 04-28-2022

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By Steve Blumenthal April 27, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 4,184 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of various Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic, and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Caught In a Trap, I Can’t Walk Out, I Love You Too Much Baby - 04-22-2022

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April 22, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal “This is not the only time in his­tory that they’ve been be­hind, but they are strik­ingly be­hind. They need to catch up and do it in a sys­tem­atic and un­der­stand­able way.” – John Taylor, Professor of Economics at Stanford University, and the George P. [...]Read More >

Trade Signals: Watch Out for Minus 2 - 04-21-2022

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By Steve Blumenthal April 20, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 4,459 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of various Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic, and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Sticky Outlook - 04-15-2022

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April 15, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal “The focus on ‘peak’ headline numbers shouldn’t overlook that price increases are digging in and broadening.” – John Arthurs, Senior Editor for Markets, Bloomberg I'm writing you this morning from Snowbird, Utah. With around 20 inches of snow having fallen over [...]Read More >

Trade Signals: 8.5% Inflation, The Fed Has No Choice But To Be Aggressive - 04-13-2022

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By Steve Blumenthal April 13, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 4,446 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return investors [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Kryptonite - 04-8-2022

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April 8, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal “Financial conditions need to tighten. If this doesn’t happen on its own (which seems unlikely), the Fed will have to shock markets to achieve the desired response. This would mean hiking the federal funds rate considerably higher than currently anticipated. One [...]Read More >

Trade Signals: 10-year Treasury Spikes to 2.60%, Mortgages to 5% - 04-6-2022

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By Steve Blumenthal April 6, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 4,483 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return investors [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Famed Recession Indicator Warning Signal - 04-1-2022

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April 1, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal “I’ve missed more than 9,000 shots in my career. I’ve lost almost 300 games. Twenty-six times I’ve been trusted to take the game-winning shot and missed. I’ve failed over and over and over again in my life. And that is why I succeed.” – Michael Jordan Stepping [...]Read More >

Trade Signals: Zweig Bond Model Sell Signal - 04-1-2022

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By Steve Blumenthal March 31, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 4,530 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return investors [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Rule #5 – The Public Buys The Most At The Top And The Least At The Bottom - 03-25-2022

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March 25, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal “I love Hot Fudge Sundaes; I could die for Hot Fudge Sundaes.” - Bob Farrell Since 1972, Institutional Investor has added more than 15,000 names to its All-America Research Team, which ranks the best research analysts in America. In 2011, they published the [...]Read More >

Trade Signals – Between a Rock (Inflation) and a Hard Place (Recession) - 03-25-2022

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By Steve Blumenthal March 23, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 4,469 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return investors [...]Read More >

On My Radar: What Current Valuations Tell Us About Probable Future Returns, and Mauldin’s Recession Call - 03-18-2022

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March 18, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal "Now it's 2022 and another strange recession looms. That's right, I'm calling it: Recession is here, or will be soon. And unfortunately, it will be a global recession. Like the COVID recession, this one has little to do with the business cycle. It's a recession [...]Read More >

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