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Research & Insight

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Since 1992, CMG has embraced uncommon solutions – the application of tactical investments as part of a progressive diversification philosophy – to help investors successfully navigate the challenges of today’s investment world.

To enlighten those decisions, we make our insights, opinions, and research available in a variety of forms: Newsletters, white papers, economic commentary and weekly market updates. It’s a great library of information and it’s open 24/7/365. That way, you can drop by anytime.

  • On My RadarSteve's weekly debriefing identifies the most relevant market events of the past week and discusses how he sees these events impacting the market.See all On My Radar debriefings
  • Trade SignalsFocused on identifying the short, intermediate and long-term trends in the investment markets: equities, fixed income, currencies, commodities and gold. See all Trade Signals

Most Recent Stories

Trade Signals – Fed Minutes: Odds of a Rate Hike…Up - 05-18-2016

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By Steve Blumenthal May 18, 2016 S&P 500 Index 2041 Release of the Fed minutes showed that members would support a rate hike if economic data improved.  The market immediately sold off.  Here are the change in odds as tracked by CME: June: 34 percent chance, up from 19 percent prior [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Champions of Conviction - 05-13-2016

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May 13, 2016 By Steve Blumenthal “Invest in good companies, don’t use leverage, invest in liquid investments, don’t do private deals and light a candle and pray for a positive outcome.” -Leon Cooperman, Omega “Debt drains away vital resources from economic growth. Fighting a debt crisis with [...]Read More >

Central Banks and the Rise of Extremism – John Mauldin - 05-12-2016

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JOHN MAULDIN | May 11, 2016 Do you feel as if you’re the rope in a tug of war? That’s the closest analogy I can come up with to describe what’s going on inside my own head – and in the world. And at the last few conferences where I’ve spoken, talking with the participants afterwards, I’ve found [...]Read More >

Trade Signals – Investor Pessimism, Momentum and Trend - 05-11-2016

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By Steve Blumenthal May 11, 2016 S&P 500 Index 2069 I’m in Las Vegas this week at the SALT Alternatives Investment Conference.  I’ll share some high level notes in Friday’s “On My Radar.” The market remains range-bound.  Sentiment has improved, meaning investor sentiment is nearing the [...]Read More >

CMG Q1 2016 Quarterly Performance Update - 05-10-2016

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Dear clients, friends and family: Following is the 2016 first quarter performance for CMG’s Tactical Investment Strategies along with our thoughts on each strategy over the past quarter.  Market index performance is presented at the bottom of the chart. Within the total portfolio construction [...]Read More >

GMO White Paper – Who Ate Joe’s Retirement Money? - 05-10-2016

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By Peter Chiappinelli & Ram Thirukkonda Summary Defined Contribution (DC) plan participants are haunted by an invisible risk called sequence risk (sometimes called sequence-of-returns or path dependency risk), that is, getting the “right” returns but in the “wrong” order. Sequence risk in [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Stan Says Sell - 05-6-2016

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May 6, 2016 By Steve Blumenthal "The Fed has borrowed from future consumption more than ever before. It is the least data dependent Fed in history. This is the longest deviation from historical norms in terms of Fed dovishness than I have ever seen in my career... This kind of myopia causes [...]Read More >

Trade Signals – Market’s Haven’t Liked Mondays Over The Last Five Years - 05-4-2016

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By Steve Blumenthal May 4, 2016 S&P 500 Index 2051 Before you take the quick dive into this week’s Trade Signals, here is an interesting fun fact courtesy of Bespoke Investment Research. “Over the last five years, Mondays have been by far the worst days for the S&P 500 with an [...]Read More >

On My Radar: He Ain’t Heavy, He’s My Brother - 04-29-2016

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April 29, 2016 By Steve Blumenthal The road is long With many a winding turn That leads us to who knows where Who knows when But I'm strong Strong enough to carry him He ain't heavy, he's my brother So on we go His welfare is of my concern No burden is he to bear We'll get there For I [...]Read More >

Trade Signals – Fed Leaves Rates Unchanged - 04-27-2016

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By Steve Blumenthal April 27, 2016 S&P 500 Index 2090 From the Fed this afternoon: “Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in March indicates that labor market conditions have improved further even as growth in economic activity appears to have slowed.  Growth [...]Read More >

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Important disclosure information: This website, and above links, contains information that has multiple authors and will offer multiple opinions on topics of interest. Any original written material on this website, either authored by CMG staff or external authors, are strictly the opinion of the author and not of CMG. If you find material that is inaccurate or defaming in any way, please contact us.

No Solicitation or Investment Advice: The material contained on this website is for informational purposes only and CMG is not soliciting any action based upon such material. The material is not to be construed as an offer or a recommendation to buy or sell a security nor is it to be construed as investment advice. Additionally, the material accessible through this website does not constitute a representation that the investments described herein are suitable or appropriate for any person.
Various links on this site will allow you to leave the CMG Web site. The linked sites are not under the control of CMG, and CMG is not responsible for the contents of any linked site or any link contained in a linked site, or any changes or updates to such sites. CMG is not responsible for any correspondence via email or any other medium, email list servers, webcasting or any other form of transmission received from any linked site. Links to external sources do not imply any official endorsement by CMG or the opinions, ideas or information contained therein, nor guarantees the validity, completeness or utility of the information provided. Reference herein to any products, services, processes, hypertext links to third parties or other information does not necessarily constitute or imply endorsement, sponsorship or recommendation. CMG shall not be held liable for improper or incorrect use of data or information contained in any electronic publications. Data, information, and related graphics contained in electronic publications are not legal documents and are not intended to be used as such. CMG gives no warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability, utility or completeness of any information contained in any electronic document.

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