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Research & Insight

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Since 1992, CMG has embraced uncommon solutions – the application of tactical investments as part of a progressive diversification philosophy – to help investors successfully navigate the challenges of today’s investment world.

To enlighten those decisions, we make our insights, opinions, and research available in a variety of forms: Newsletters, white papers, economic commentary and weekly market updates. It’s a great library of information and it’s open 24/7/365. That way, you can drop by anytime.

  • On My RadarSteve's weekly debriefing identifies the most relevant market events of the past week and discusses how he sees these events impacting the market.See all On My Radar debriefings
  • Trade SignalsFocused on identifying the short, intermediate and long-term trends in the investment markets: equities, fixed income, currencies, commodities and gold. See all Trade Signals

Most Recent Stories

Trade Signals – Feels Like 1997 Absent the Cab Drivers Speculating on Stocks - 08-10-2016

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By Steve Blumenthal August 10, 2016 S&P 500 Index 2156 Technically, the S&P 500 Index looks strong.  The price trend, as measured by the 13/34-Week MA (posted below) turned positive in late March 2016.  My favorite “weight of evidence indicator,” the CMG Ned Davis Research Large Cap [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Taking the “E” Train South - 08-5-2016

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On My Radar: Taking the “E” Train South August 5, 2016 By Steve Blumenthal “There is no panacea for the low returns implied by asset valuations today. Anyone suggesting differently is either fooling themselves or trying to fool you.  But piling into the assets that have been the biggest help to [...]Read More >

Trade Signals – Bond Market Risks, Zweig Bond Model a Buy, HY Weakening, Sentiment at Bullish Extreme, Gold Trend Positive, CMG Opportunistic All Asset Strategy 45% Equities/55% Fixed Income - 08-3-2016

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By Steve Blumenthal August 3, 2016 S&P 500 Index 2156 I noted several weeks ago that investor sentiment had reached a bullish extreme. Such readings are generally short-term bearish for equities. With the stock market down seven days in a row, investor optimism has declined but still [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Bubble Trouble - 07-29-2016

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July 29, 2016 By Steve Blumenthal “Last week, market conditions joined the same tiny handful of extremes that defined the 1929, 1972, 1987, 2000 and 2007 market peaks.” - John P. Hussman, Ph.D. (Source) At a recent investment conference, one of the panelists was an investment officer for the [...]Read More >

Trade Signals – Strength in Health Care, Telecom & Fixed Income - 07-27-2016

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By Steve Blumenthal July 27, 2016 S&P 500 Index 2166 The “Don’t Fight the Fed or the Tape” indicator is showing the strongest reading in some time (+2).  The reading has been +1 for a number of months.  Note in the following chart that such readings have happened only 5.74% of the time [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Junkyard Dogs - 07-22-2016

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July 22, 2016 By Steve Blumenthal “We’ve had a lot of QE and we are not sure if it works.” - Former Dallas Fed President, Richard Fisher (Source) One of the best reads for me this week came from the creative pen of Danielle DiMartino Booth.  She was an analyst at the Dallas Federal Reserve for [...]Read More >

Trade Signals – Investor Sentiment Reflects Extreme Optimism  - 07-20-2016

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By Steve Blumenthal July 20, 2016 S&P 500 Index 2167 I like to think of this weekly process as a risk management dashboard.  Of note this week is the extreme level of investor optimism.  Generally, such readings are short-term bearish for equities and suggest a pause or correction within [...]Read More >

On My Radar: I Don’t Know How to Love Him - 07-15-2016

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July 15, 2016 By Steve Blumenthal I don't know how to love him, What to do, how to move him. I've been changed, yes, really changed. In these past few days when I've seen myself I seem like someone else… Should I bring him down? Should I scream and shout? Should I speak of love - let my [...]Read More >

Trade Signals – All-Time Record High - 07-13-2016

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By Steve Blumenthal July 13, 2016 S&P 500 Index 2150 There are no major changes this week; though, daily investor sentiment is nearing Extreme Optimism.  The cyclical trend for U.S. equities remains bullish.  With valuations high (and they could go higher), risk remains high.  Hedge any [...]Read More >

John Mauldin – Thoughts From The Frontline - 07-11-2016

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Important disclosure information: This website, and above links, contains information that has multiple authors and will offer multiple opinions on topics of interest. Any original written material on this website, either authored by CMG staff or external authors, are strictly the opinion of the author and not of CMG. If you find material that is inaccurate or defaming in any way, please contact us.

No Solicitation or Investment Advice: The material contained on this website is for informational purposes only and CMG is not soliciting any action based upon such material. The material is not to be construed as an offer or a recommendation to buy or sell a security nor is it to be construed as investment advice. Additionally, the material accessible through this website does not constitute a representation that the investments described herein are suitable or appropriate for any person.
Various links on this site will allow you to leave the CMG Web site. The linked sites are not under the control of CMG, and CMG is not responsible for the contents of any linked site or any link contained in a linked site, or any changes or updates to such sites. CMG is not responsible for any correspondence via email or any other medium, email list servers, webcasting or any other form of transmission received from any linked site. Links to external sources do not imply any official endorsement by CMG or the opinions, ideas or information contained therein, nor guarantees the validity, completeness or utility of the information provided. Reference herein to any products, services, processes, hypertext links to third parties or other information does not necessarily constitute or imply endorsement, sponsorship or recommendation. CMG shall not be held liable for improper or incorrect use of data or information contained in any electronic publications. Data, information, and related graphics contained in electronic publications are not legal documents and are not intended to be used as such. CMG gives no warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability, utility or completeness of any information contained in any electronic document.

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