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Research & Insight

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Since 1992, CMG has embraced uncommon solutions – the application of tactical investments as part of a progressive diversification philosophy – to help investors successfully navigate the challenges of today’s investment world.

To enlighten those decisions, we make our insights, opinions, and research available in a variety of forms: Newsletters, white papers, economic commentary and weekly market updates. It’s a great library of information and it’s open 24/7/365. That way, you can drop by anytime.

  • On My RadarSteve's weekly debriefing identifies the most relevant market events of the past week and discusses how he sees these events impacting the market.See all On My Radar debriefings
  • Trade SignalsFocused on identifying the short, intermediate and long-term trends in the investment markets: equities, fixed income, currencies, commodities and gold. See all Trade Signals

Most Recent Stories

On My Radar: The Fed’s Next Move - 09-9-2016

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September 9, 2016 By Steve Blumenthal I and others however, have for several years now, suggested that the primary problem lies with zero/negative interest rates; that not only do they fail to provide an "easing cushion" should recession come knocking at the door, but they [...]Read More >

Trade Signals – Sentiment Better, Risk On Remains - 09-7-2016

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By Steve Blumenthal September 7, 2016 S&P 500 Index -- 2,184 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  It is my weekly risk management dashboard, designed to keep me better in sync with the major technical [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Why? Because We Need the Eggs - 09-2-2016

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September 2, 2016 By Steve Blumenthal Woody Allen closes “Annie Hall” with a joke: This guy goes to a psychiatrist and says, ‘Doc, my brother's crazy; he thinks he's a chicken.’  And the doctor says, ‘Well, why don't you turn him in?’  The guy says, ‘I would, but I need the eggs.’ That pretty [...]Read More >

Trade Signals – Overvalued, Sentiment Remains in Bullish Extreme (S/T Bearish for Stocks), Cyclical Bull Uptrend - 08-31-2016

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By Steve Blumenthal August 31, 2016 S&P 500 Index 2165 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  It is my weekly risk management dashboard, designed to keep me better in sync with the major technical trends.  [...]Read More >

On My Radar: The Little Engine That Could - 08-26-2016

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August 26, 2016 By Steve Blumenthal “We live at a time where the unthinkable has become common.” — B. Scott Minerd, Managing Partner, Guggenheim Partners Do you remember the story book The Little Engine That Could?  The best known version of the story was written by "Watty Piper," the pen name [...]Read More >

Trade Signals – Sentiment Too Bullish, S&P 500 Annualized Return Since 12/31/99 to Present just 2.41% (Wow!) - 08-24-2016

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By Steve Blumenthal August 24, 2016 S&P 500 Index 2174 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  It is my weekly risk management dashboard, designed to keep me better in sync with the major technical [...]Read More >

On My Radar: “In the Realm of Economics, No Government Can Play God.” - 08-19-2016

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August 19, 2016 By Steve Blumenthal “In the realm of economics, no government can play god.” -- José Niño, Analyst, Acton Circle of Chile I came across today’s intro quote this week while sitting in my beach chair facing the Atlantic Ocean.  The title seems apropos to the world we find ourselves [...]Read More >

Trade Signals – Don’t Fight the Tape or the Fed Moves to Neutral Signal, Investor Sentiment Remains Too Optimistic, HY and Zweig Remain in Buy Signals - 08-17-2016

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By Steve Blumenthal August 17, 2016 S&P 500 Index 2174 “Because for any given level of return, if you diversify, you can generate that return with a lower risk; or for any given level of risk, if you diversify, you can generate a higher return.  So it’s a free lunch.  Diversification makes [...]Read More >

CMG Q2 2016 Quarterly Performance Update - 08-16-2016

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Dear clients, friends and family: Following is the 2016 second quarter performance for CMG’s Tactical Investment Strategies along with our thoughts on each strategy over the past quarter.  Market index performance is presented at the bottom of the chart. Within the total portfolio construction [...]Read More >

On My Radar: The Best Looking Dude at the Dance - 08-12-2016

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August 12, 2016 By Steve Blumenthal “We’ve been bulls on 30-year Treasury bonds since 1981 when we stated, “We’re entering the bond rally of a lifetime.” “Their yields back then were 15.2%, but our forecast called for huge declines in inflation and, with it, a gigantic fall in bond yields to our [...]Read More >

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Important disclosure information: This website, and above links, contains information that has multiple authors and will offer multiple opinions on topics of interest. Any original written material on this website, either authored by CMG staff or external authors, are strictly the opinion of the author and not of CMG. If you find material that is inaccurate or defaming in any way, please contact us.

No Solicitation or Investment Advice: The material contained on this website is for informational purposes only and CMG is not soliciting any action based upon such material. The material is not to be construed as an offer or a recommendation to buy or sell a security nor is it to be construed as investment advice. Additionally, the material accessible through this website does not constitute a representation that the investments described herein are suitable or appropriate for any person.
Various links on this site will allow you to leave the CMG Web site. The linked sites are not under the control of CMG, and CMG is not responsible for the contents of any linked site or any link contained in a linked site, or any changes or updates to such sites. CMG is not responsible for any correspondence via email or any other medium, email list servers, webcasting or any other form of transmission received from any linked site. Links to external sources do not imply any official endorsement by CMG or the opinions, ideas or information contained therein, nor guarantees the validity, completeness or utility of the information provided. Reference herein to any products, services, processes, hypertext links to third parties or other information does not necessarily constitute or imply endorsement, sponsorship or recommendation. CMG shall not be held liable for improper or incorrect use of data or information contained in any electronic publications. Data, information, and related graphics contained in electronic publications are not legal documents and are not intended to be used as such. CMG gives no warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability, utility or completeness of any information contained in any electronic document.

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