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Research & Insight

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Since 1992, CMG has embraced uncommon solutions – the application of tactical investments as part of a progressive diversification philosophy – to help investors successfully navigate the challenges of today’s investment world.

To enlighten those decisions, we make our insights, opinions, and research available in a variety of forms: Newsletters, white papers, economic commentary and weekly market updates. It’s a great library of information and it’s open 24/7/365. That way, you can drop by anytime.

  • On My RadarSteve's weekly debriefing identifies the most relevant market events of the past week and discusses how he sees these events impacting the market.See all On My Radar debriefings
  • Trade SignalsFocused on identifying the short, intermediate and long-term trends in the investment markets: equities, fixed income, currencies, commodities and gold. See all Trade Signals

Most Recent Stories

Trade Signals — Trend Remains Positive for Equities & HY; Negative for High Quality Bonds - 10-12-2016

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By Steve Blumenthal October 12, 2016 S&P 500 Index -- 2,139 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Equity Market Valuations & Probable Forward Returns - 10-7-2016

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October 7, 2016 By Steve Blumenthal “Value investing is simple to understand but difficult to implement.” — Seth Klarman, The Baupost Group Today, let’s take a look at the most recent market valuations.  Hint and not a surprise: both stocks and bonds remain expensively priced.  Value?  Not [...]Read More >

Trade Signals — The Weight of Evidence is Bullish for Equities and Bonds; Extreme Bearish Sentiment is S/T Bullish for Stocks - 10-5-2016

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By Steve Blumenthal October 5, 2016 S&P 500 Index -- 2,159 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  It is my weekly risk management dashboard, designed to keep me better in sync with the major technical [...]Read More >

Morgan Creek – Q2 2016 Market Review & Outlook - 10-3-2016

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On My Radar: Confidence Lost, Then Crisis - 09-30-2016

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September 30, 2016 By Steve Blumenthal “It’s like déjà vu all over again.” -- Yogi Berra Something just doesn’t feel right to me.  In March 2008, Bear Stearns executives made a shocking discovery: They were nearly out of cash.  They faced a barrage of withdrawals from worried clients.  In a [...]Read More >

Trade Signals – Cyclical Bull Equity Trend Positive, Bond Trend Bullish (Again), Sentiment Supports Bullish Trend - 09-28-2016

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By Steve Blumenthal September 28, 2016 S&P 500 Index -- 2,170 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  It is my weekly risk management dashboard, designed to keep me better in sync with the major technical [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Morningstar ETF Conference – Best Ideas, Part II - 09-23-2016

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September 23, 2016 By Steve Blumenthal “Being fully invested is a myth.  You shouldn’t always be fully invested.” Mark W. Yusko, Founder, CEO and CIO Morgan Creek Capital Management, at the 2016 Morningstar ETF Conference Last week, I shared some of my notes from the recent Morningstar ETF [...]Read More >

Trade Signals – Bond Market Sell Signals - 09-21-2016

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By Steve Blumenthal September 21, 2016 S&P 500 Index -- 2,140 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  It is my weekly risk management dashboard, designed to keep me better in sync with the major technical [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Best Ideas - 09-16-2016

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September 16, 2016 By Steve Blumenthal Human beings do something really well.  They buy what they wish they would have bought and they are spectacular at it. The last time we had a record amount of money move to passive was in March 2000.  Back then only 10% of the market was passive and today it [...]Read More >

Trade Signals – Extreme Investor Pessimism (S/T Bullish); Cyclical Bull Trend Remains - 09-14-2016

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By Steve Blumenthal September 14, 2016 S&P 500 Index -- 2,127 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  It is my weekly risk management dashboard, designed to keep me better in sync with the major technical [...]Read More >

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Important disclosure information: This website, and above links, contains information that has multiple authors and will offer multiple opinions on topics of interest. Any original written material on this website, either authored by CMG staff or external authors, are strictly the opinion of the author and not of CMG. If you find material that is inaccurate or defaming in any way, please contact us.

No Solicitation or Investment Advice: The material contained on this website is for informational purposes only and CMG is not soliciting any action based upon such material. The material is not to be construed as an offer or a recommendation to buy or sell a security nor is it to be construed as investment advice. Additionally, the material accessible through this website does not constitute a representation that the investments described herein are suitable or appropriate for any person.
Various links on this site will allow you to leave the CMG Web site. The linked sites are not under the control of CMG, and CMG is not responsible for the contents of any linked site or any link contained in a linked site, or any changes or updates to such sites. CMG is not responsible for any correspondence via email or any other medium, email list servers, webcasting or any other form of transmission received from any linked site. Links to external sources do not imply any official endorsement by CMG or the opinions, ideas or information contained therein, nor guarantees the validity, completeness or utility of the information provided. Reference herein to any products, services, processes, hypertext links to third parties or other information does not necessarily constitute or imply endorsement, sponsorship or recommendation. CMG shall not be held liable for improper or incorrect use of data or information contained in any electronic publications. Data, information, and related graphics contained in electronic publications are not legal documents and are not intended to be used as such. CMG gives no warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability, utility or completeness of any information contained in any electronic document.

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