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Research & Insight

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Since 1992, CMG has embraced uncommon solutions – the application of tactical investments as part of a progressive diversification philosophy – to help investors successfully navigate the challenges of today’s investment world.

To enlighten those decisions, we make our insights, opinions, and research available in a variety of forms: Newsletters, white papers, economic commentary and weekly market updates. It’s a great library of information and it’s open 24/7/365. That way, you can drop by anytime.

  • On My RadarSteve's weekly debriefing identifies the most relevant market events of the past week and discusses how he sees these events impacting the market.See all On My Radar debriefings
  • Trade SignalsFocused on identifying the short, intermediate and long-term trends in the investment markets: equities, fixed income, currencies, commodities and gold. See all Trade Signals

Most Recent Stories

GMO Quarterly Letter — 3Q 2016 - 11-8-2016

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On My Radar: You’ve Only Got to Remember Two Things - 11-4-2016

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November 4, 2016 By Steve Blumenthal "Where you want to be is always in control, never wishing, always trading, and always, first and foremost protecting your butt." "I believe the very best money is made at the market turns. Everyone says you get killed trying to pick tops and bottoms and you [...]Read More >

Morgan Stanley — P/E-Based Horizon Returns (May 12, 2014) - 11-2-2016

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Trade Signals — Pessimism Rising, Gold Cyclical Bull Remains, Fixed Income Sell Signals - 11-2-2016

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By Steve Blumenthal November 2, 2016 S&P 500 Index -- 2,110 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

CMG Q3 2016 Quarterly Performance Update - 11-1-2016

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Dear clients, friends and family: Following is the 2016 third quarter performance for CMG’s Tactical Investment Strategies along with our thoughts on each strategy over the past quarter.  Market index performance is presented at the bottom of the chart. Within the total portfolio construction [...]Read More >

On My Radar: The Math Doesn’t Allow for a Soft Landing - 10-28-2016

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October 28, 2016 By Steve Blumenthal “You diversify.  You have a whole bunch of uncorrelated investment bets. And then you understand it (the situation) as best you can.” — Ray Dalio I had a long talk with an advisor client this week about portfolio construction, the economy, the debt cycle and [...]Read More >

Trade Signals — Little Movement in Equity Market, Equity Trend Remains Bullish, Sentiment Favorable and You’ll Find an Interesting Chart on QE’s Impact on the S&P 500 - 10-26-2016

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By Steve Blumenthal October 26, 2016 S&P 500 Index -- 2,143 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Are We at the End of a Long-Term Debt Cycle? - 10-21-2016

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October 21, 2016 By Steve Blumenthal "So the real question that I think people should think of is: Are we at the end of a long-term debt cycle?" — Ray Dalio I’ve written a great deal about debt.  In last week’s piece, I showed the enormity of the problem.  Growth is slow and I believe will [...]Read More >

Trade Signals — Extreme Pessimism (S/T Bullish), Equity and HY Trends Bullish, Zweig Bond Model Bearish… No Sign of U.S. Recession - 10-19-2016

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By Steve Blumenthal October 19, 2016 S&P 500 Index -- 2,147 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Arnold Palmer — OMG What Was That? - 10-14-2016

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October 14, 2016 By Steve Blumenthal “The most rewarding things you do in life are often the ones that look like they cannot be done." "I've always made a total effort, even when the odds seemed entirely against me. I never quit trying; I never felt that I didn't have a chance to win.” — Arnold [...]Read More >

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Important disclosure information: This website, and above links, contains information that has multiple authors and will offer multiple opinions on topics of interest. Any original written material on this website, either authored by CMG staff or external authors, are strictly the opinion of the author and not of CMG. If you find material that is inaccurate or defaming in any way, please contact us.

No Solicitation or Investment Advice: The material contained on this website is for informational purposes only and CMG is not soliciting any action based upon such material. The material is not to be construed as an offer or a recommendation to buy or sell a security nor is it to be construed as investment advice. Additionally, the material accessible through this website does not constitute a representation that the investments described herein are suitable or appropriate for any person.
Various links on this site will allow you to leave the CMG Web site. The linked sites are not under the control of CMG, and CMG is not responsible for the contents of any linked site or any link contained in a linked site, or any changes or updates to such sites. CMG is not responsible for any correspondence via email or any other medium, email list servers, webcasting or any other form of transmission received from any linked site. Links to external sources do not imply any official endorsement by CMG or the opinions, ideas or information contained therein, nor guarantees the validity, completeness or utility of the information provided. Reference herein to any products, services, processes, hypertext links to third parties or other information does not necessarily constitute or imply endorsement, sponsorship or recommendation. CMG shall not be held liable for improper or incorrect use of data or information contained in any electronic publications. Data, information, and related graphics contained in electronic publications are not legal documents and are not intended to be used as such. CMG gives no warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability, utility or completeness of any information contained in any electronic document.

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