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Research & Insight

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Since 1992, CMG has embraced uncommon solutions – the application of tactical investments as part of a progressive diversification philosophy – to help investors successfully navigate the challenges of today’s investment world.

To enlighten those decisions, we make our insights, opinions, and research available in a variety of forms: Newsletters, white papers, economic commentary and weekly market updates. It’s a great library of information and it’s open 24/7/365. That way, you can drop by anytime.

  • On My RadarSteve's weekly debriefing identifies the most relevant market events of the past week and discusses how he sees these events impacting the market.See all On My Radar debriefings
  • Trade SignalsFocused on identifying the short, intermediate and long-term trends in the investment markets: equities, fixed income, currencies, commodities and gold. See all Trade Signals

Most Recent Stories

Trade Signals — Cyclical Trend, Daily Investor Sentiment, Zweig Bond Model, Gold Signals Bullish - 08-16-2017

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By Steve Blumenthal August 16, 2017 S&P 500 Index -- 2,469 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

On My Radar: The Fed is “Focused on the Obvious and Unimportant” - 08-11-2017

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August 11, 2017 By Steve Blumenthal “... Focused on the obvious and unimportant.” – Former Senior Economist, Federal Reserve Bank, Camp Kotok, August 6, 2017 Atop the “what matters most” list is debt.  Specifically, global sovereign debt: U.S., Europe, Japan and China.  We are at the end of a [...]Read More >

Trade Signals — August 9, 2017 - 08-8-2017

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By Steve Blumenthal August 9, 2017 S&P 500 Index -- 2,485 I am on vacation this week in Stone Harbor in southern New Jersey with Susan and our children.  I hope you are able to take some time off this summer.  I'm going to try not to eat too much Springer's Homemade ice cream. I've [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Valuations and What They Tell Us About Coming 7- and 10-Year Returns - 08-4-2017

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August 4, 2017 By Steve Blumenthal “The uncertainties are unusual in terms of number, scale and insolubility in areas including secular economic growth; the impact of central banks; interest rates and inflation; political dysfunction; geopolitical trouble spots; and the long-term impact of [...]Read More >

Trade Signals — A Strong +2: Don’t Fight the Trend or the Fed - 08-2-2017

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By Steve Blumenthal August 2, 2017 S&P 500 Index -- 2,468 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

CMG Q2 2017 Quarterly Performance Update - 08-1-2017

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Dear clients, friends and family: Following is the 2017 second quarter performance for CMG’s Tactical Investment Strategies along with our thoughts on each strategy over the past quarter.  Market index performance is presented at the bottom of the chart. CMG Tactical Fixed Income [...]Read More >

On My Radar: FANG Stocks, Gigabytes and Terabytes - 07-28-2017

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July 28, 2017 By Steve Blumenthal "Over the years I have seen scores of very bright investment advisors turn into hugely successful gurus who blaze into the investment business with spectacular forecasts. Yet, I've watched each and every one of them crash back to earth when a big subsequent [...]Read More >

Trade Signals — Trend Trumps Sentiment - 07-26-2017

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By Steve Blumenthal July 26, 2017 S&P 500 Index -- 2,477 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

On My Radar: The HY Market… A Leading Indicator - 07-21-2017

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July 21, 2017 By Steve Blumenthal “The primary, direct driver of default rates is not the yield on Treasury bonds but rather the business cycle.” Martin Fridson, CFA CIO of Lehmann, Livian, Fridson Advisors, LLC At a conference in Chicago this week, following up on last week’s letter, Keep [...]Read More >

Trade Signals — Cyclical Bull Trend Persists - 07-19-2017

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By Steve Blumenthal July 19, 2017 S&P 500 Index -- 2,466 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

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Important disclosure information: This website, and above links, contains information that has multiple authors and will offer multiple opinions on topics of interest. Any original written material on this website, either authored by CMG staff or external authors, are strictly the opinion of the author and not of CMG. If you find material that is inaccurate or defaming in any way, please contact us.

No Solicitation or Investment Advice: The material contained on this website is for informational purposes only and CMG is not soliciting any action based upon such material. The material is not to be construed as an offer or a recommendation to buy or sell a security nor is it to be construed as investment advice. Additionally, the material accessible through this website does not constitute a representation that the investments described herein are suitable or appropriate for any person.
Various links on this site will allow you to leave the CMG Web site. The linked sites are not under the control of CMG, and CMG is not responsible for the contents of any linked site or any link contained in a linked site, or any changes or updates to such sites. CMG is not responsible for any correspondence via email or any other medium, email list servers, webcasting or any other form of transmission received from any linked site. Links to external sources do not imply any official endorsement by CMG or the opinions, ideas or information contained therein, nor guarantees the validity, completeness or utility of the information provided. Reference herein to any products, services, processes, hypertext links to third parties or other information does not necessarily constitute or imply endorsement, sponsorship or recommendation. CMG shall not be held liable for improper or incorrect use of data or information contained in any electronic publications. Data, information, and related graphics contained in electronic publications are not legal documents and are not intended to be used as such. CMG gives no warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability, utility or completeness of any information contained in any electronic document.

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