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Research & Insight

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Since 1992, CMG has embraced uncommon solutions – the application of tactical investments as part of a progressive diversification philosophy – to help investors successfully navigate the challenges of today’s investment world.

To enlighten those decisions, we make our insights, opinions, and research available in a variety of forms: Newsletters, white papers, economic commentary and weekly market updates. It’s a great library of information and it’s open 24/7/365. That way, you can drop by anytime.

  • On My RadarSteve's weekly debriefing identifies the most relevant market events of the past week and discusses how he sees these events impacting the market.See all On My Radar debriefings
  • Trade SignalsFocused on identifying the short, intermediate and long-term trends in the investment markets: equities, fixed income, currencies, commodities and gold. See all Trade Signals

Most Recent Stories

Trade Signals: 9.1% Inflation – Paul Volcker vs. Jerome Powell - 07-14-2022

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By Steve Blumenthal July 14, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 3,771 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of various Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic, and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Inflation and Gold - 07-8-2022

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July 8, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal “We’re now on a path to raise rates half a percent at a time until rates reach an arbitrarily determined, neutral level of around 2.5–3%. This gentle response is akin to trying to clear out your snow-covered driveway with an ice cream scooper.” – David Einhorn, [...]Read More >

Trade Signals: Avoiding Recession - 07-7-2022

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By Steve Blumenthal July 7, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 3,895 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of various Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic, and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return investors [...]Read More >

On My Radar: A Mid-Year Look at Valuations and Future Returns (Better) - 07-1-2022

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July 1, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal “Adjusting for inflation, first half S&P 500 down 25-26%, NASDAQ down 34-35%, Bitcoin down 64-65%. That was multiple compression, next up earnings compression so maybe halfway there.” – Michael Burry @MichaelJBurry If quantitative easing helped the stock [...]Read More >

Trade Signals: 300+ Ph.D.’s? The Fed is Guessing!!! - 06-30-2022

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By Steve Blumenthal June 29, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 3,819 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of various Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic, and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Stanley Druckenmiller - 06-24-2022

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June 24, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal “Do not, do NOT invest in the present; the present is not what moves stock prices, change does.” “It's not about whether you are right or wrong, but about how much you make when you are right, and how much you lose when you are wrong.” – Stanley Druckenmiller, [...]Read More >

Trade Signals: Hard Economic Landing - 06-24-2022

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By Steve Blumenthal June 23, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 3,795 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of various Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic, and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Investing Like Harvard and Yale - 06-18-2022

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June 17, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal “The risks of a debt bubble breaking and the rest of an equity bubble breaking have simply not been understood by our Federal Reserve since Paul Volcker. They are incredibly naive. They haven't even got a clue. They're not even interested in the idea. Bernanke [...]Read More >

Trade Signals: Recession Is On The Horizon - 06-16-2022

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By Steve Blumenthal June 16, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 3,790 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of various Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic, and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >

Ray Dalio on Inflation, Recession Outlook and Stagflation - 06-12-2022

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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WP7Z1MKNZSM IMPORTANT DISCLOSURE INFORMATION. INFORMATION IS FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY. THE OPINIONS EXPRESSED ARE THOSE OF THE AUTHORS. INVESTING INVOLVES RISK. PAST PERFORMANCE DOES NOT GUARANTEE OR INDICATE FUTURE RESULTS. This presentation is a general [...]Read More >

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Important disclosure information: This website, and above links, contains information that has multiple authors and will offer multiple opinions on topics of interest. Any original written material on this website, either authored by CMG staff or external authors, are strictly the opinion of the author and not of CMG. If you find material that is inaccurate or defaming in any way, please contact us.

No Solicitation or Investment Advice: The material contained on this website is for informational purposes only and CMG is not soliciting any action based upon such material. The material is not to be construed as an offer or a recommendation to buy or sell a security nor is it to be construed as investment advice. Additionally, the material accessible through this website does not constitute a representation that the investments described herein are suitable or appropriate for any person.
Various links on this site will allow you to leave the CMG Web site. The linked sites are not under the control of CMG, and CMG is not responsible for the contents of any linked site or any link contained in a linked site, or any changes or updates to such sites. CMG is not responsible for any correspondence via email or any other medium, email list servers, webcasting or any other form of transmission received from any linked site. Links to external sources do not imply any official endorsement by CMG or the opinions, ideas or information contained therein, nor guarantees the validity, completeness or utility of the information provided. Reference herein to any products, services, processes, hypertext links to third parties or other information does not necessarily constitute or imply endorsement, sponsorship or recommendation. CMG shall not be held liable for improper or incorrect use of data or information contained in any electronic publications. Data, information, and related graphics contained in electronic publications are not legal documents and are not intended to be used as such. CMG gives no warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability, utility or completeness of any information contained in any electronic document.

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