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Research & Insight

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Since 1992, CMG has embraced uncommon solutions – the application of tactical investments as part of a progressive diversification philosophy – to help investors successfully navigate the challenges of today’s investment world.

To enlighten those decisions, we make our insights, opinions, and research available in a variety of forms: Newsletters, white papers, economic commentary and weekly market updates. It’s a great library of information and it’s open 24/7/365. That way, you can drop by anytime.

  • On My RadarSteve's weekly debriefing identifies the most relevant market events of the past week and discusses how he sees these events impacting the market.See all On My Radar debriefings
  • Trade SignalsFocused on identifying the short, intermediate and long-term trends in the investment markets: equities, fixed income, currencies, commodities and gold. See all Trade Signals

Most Recent Stories

Trade Signals: Short-term Trading Top? - 08-19-2022

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By Steve Blumenthal August 18, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 4,274 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of various Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic, and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >

On My Radar: War Is Inflationary - 08-12-2022

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Aug 12, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal "U.S. consumers were soaking up all the cheap stuff the world had to offer: the asset rich, benefiting from decades of QE, bought high-end stuff from Europe produced using cheap Russian gas, and lower-income households bought all the cheap stuff coming from China. [...]Read More >

Trade Signals: The July CPI Surprise - 08-11-2022

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By Steve Blumenthal August 11, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 4,207 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of various Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic, and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Odds Favor Stagflation That Could Last For Years - 08-5-2022

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Aug 5, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal "MP3 reflationary policies injected massive amounts of money and credit into economies, leading to self-reinforcing high nominal growth, leading to self-reinforcing inflation, leading to an abrupt shift in market discounting from a benign monetary policy to a [...]Read More >

Trade Signals: Bear Markets – Path, Depth and Duration - 08-3-2022

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By Steve Blumenthal August 3, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 4,070 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of various Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic, and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >

On My Radar: “Damn Skippy I Will” (And A Story About Hubris) - 07-29-2022

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July 29, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal “The Yellen Fed was peak Fed. Peak, not in the sense of maximum balance sheet expansion, but in the sense of maximum faith and maximum zealotry that the Fed’s three toolboxes—short-term interest rates, balance sheet operations, and communication policy—could [...]Read More >

Trade Signals: Fed Hikes 75 bps, Negative GDP, Recession - 07-28-2022

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By Steve Blumenthal July 28, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 4,070 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of various Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic, and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Debt, Margin Debt and Fair Value - 07-22-2022

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July 22, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal “Because most everyone wants most everything to go up and because there is a drug called credit that produces both upswings and a byproduct depressant called debt, there is a cycle of accumulating debt liabilities and debt assets that is followed by the reducing [...]Read More >

Trade Signals: Bear Market Trend Intact - 07-21-2022

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By Steve Blumenthal July 22, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 3,948 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of various Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic, and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Diversify and/or Play the Cycle - 07-15-2022

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July 15, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal “From 2008 until recently the Federal Reserve and other central banks kept interest rates abnormally low. They did this because it is the time-honored central bank playbook. Make borrowing cheap and you can generate the kind of economic activity that spurs [...]Read More >

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Important disclosure information: This website, and above links, contains information that has multiple authors and will offer multiple opinions on topics of interest. Any original written material on this website, either authored by CMG staff or external authors, are strictly the opinion of the author and not of CMG. If you find material that is inaccurate or defaming in any way, please contact us.

No Solicitation or Investment Advice: The material contained on this website is for informational purposes only and CMG is not soliciting any action based upon such material. The material is not to be construed as an offer or a recommendation to buy or sell a security nor is it to be construed as investment advice. Additionally, the material accessible through this website does not constitute a representation that the investments described herein are suitable or appropriate for any person.
Various links on this site will allow you to leave the CMG Web site. The linked sites are not under the control of CMG, and CMG is not responsible for the contents of any linked site or any link contained in a linked site, or any changes or updates to such sites. CMG is not responsible for any correspondence via email or any other medium, email list servers, webcasting or any other form of transmission received from any linked site. Links to external sources do not imply any official endorsement by CMG or the opinions, ideas or information contained therein, nor guarantees the validity, completeness or utility of the information provided. Reference herein to any products, services, processes, hypertext links to third parties or other information does not necessarily constitute or imply endorsement, sponsorship or recommendation. CMG shall not be held liable for improper or incorrect use of data or information contained in any electronic publications. Data, information, and related graphics contained in electronic publications are not legal documents and are not intended to be used as such. CMG gives no warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability, utility or completeness of any information contained in any electronic document.

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