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Research & Insight

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Since 1992, CMG has embraced uncommon solutions – the application of tactical investments as part of a progressive diversification philosophy – to help investors successfully navigate the challenges of today’s investment world.

To enlighten those decisions, we make our insights, opinions, and research available in a variety of forms: Newsletters, white papers, economic commentary and weekly market updates. It’s a great library of information and it’s open 24/7/365. That way, you can drop by anytime.

  • On My RadarSteve's weekly debriefing identifies the most relevant market events of the past week and discusses how he sees these events impacting the market.See all On My Radar debriefings
  • Trade SignalsFocused on identifying the short, intermediate and long-term trends in the investment markets: equities, fixed income, currencies, commodities and gold. See all Trade Signals

Most Recent Stories

Trade Signals: Big Mo Can Make You Dough - 05-29-2013

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S&P 500 Index 1649 By Steve Blumenthal May 29, 2013 Investor Sentiment remains extreme.  We are also seeing some initial cracks in the bond market (i.e. rising interest rates).  The CMG Managed High Yield Bond Program moved to a sell signal last week and with yields hitting record lows [...]Read More >

On My Radar: PIMCO’s Blender - 05-24-2013

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May 24, 2013 By Steve Blumenthal PIMCO’s Blender Being the investment geek that I am, there are several annual research meetings that I eagerly await to read about each year.   One of which is PIMCO’s Annual Secular Forum.   Picture a room full of some of the industry’s brightest thought [...]Read More >

Trade Signals: May 22, 2013 - 05-22-2013

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S&P 500 Index 1669 By Steve Blumenthal May 22, 2013 Sentiment Update – Extreme Optimism Investor Sentiment remains in the Extreme Optimism zone.  Risk remains elevated. Investment Sentiment charts 5-21-2013: Chart 1.  NDR Crowd Sentiment Poll – Extreme Optimism (Bearish) – I [...]Read More >

On My Radar: May 17, 2013 - 05-17-2013

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May 16, 2013 By Steve Blumenthal High Yield bonds - Some Insight from a 20 year HY veteran The yield on the Bank of America - Merrill Lynch High Yield Bond Index moved below 5% recently. Just a month ago it set a record low yield by moving below 6% for the first time.  The Fed’s plan of a [...]Read More >

Trade Signals: Extreme Optimism Again - 05-15-2013

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S&P 500 Index 1657 By Steve Blumenthal May 15, 2013 Sentiment Update – Extreme Optimism Investor Sentiment remains in the Extreme Optimism zone.  I continue to suggest a hedged approach as it relates to your long-term equity portion of your portfolio.  The cost is relatively nominal and [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Inflation, Haircuts & WSJ Live - 05-10-2013

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May 10, 2013 By Steve Blumenthal Hyperinflations, Hysteria, and False Memories - James Montier, GMO “To say that the printing of money by central banks to finance government deficits creates hyperinflations is far too simplistic (bordering on the simple-minded). Hyperinflation is not purely [...]Read More >

Hyperinflations, Hysteria & False Memories – J. Montier - 05-10-2013

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GMO White Paper, February 2013 - Excerpt: To say that the printing of money by central banks to finance government deficits creates hyperinflations is far too simplistic (bordering on the simple-minded). Hyperinflation is not purely a monetary phenomenon. To claim that is to miss the root causes [...]Read More >

WSJ Live – May 9: How Much is the Market Really Worth? - 05-9-2013

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Major indexes are striking nearly daily record highs. But with earnings growth slowing sharply, are stocks overvalued? Steve Blumenthal joins MoneyBeat to discuss his tactically managed, risk mitigated approach to investing. Or watch it here on WSJ Live. [...]Read More >

Trade Signals: Charts & My “Two Cents” - 05-8-2013

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S&P 500 Index 1626 By Steve Blumenthal May 8, 2013 Sentiment Update – Charts and my “two cents” Investor Sentiment remains in the Extreme Optimism zone.  I continue to favor inexpensive hedges to risk protect long equity market exposure (i.e. covered calls and out of the money put [...]Read More >

The Blumenthal Viewpoint: “Pretty Woman” - 05-2-2013

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May 2, 2013 By Steve Blumenthal The taxi pulled up to the Beverly Wilshire Hotel in Beverly Hills, California and the driver said, “You know, this was the hotel they used in the movie "Pretty Woman" ”.  Richard Gere was the wealthy Private Equity guy and Julia Roberts was the pretty woman.  Gere [...]Read More >

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Important disclosure information: This website, and above links, contains information that has multiple authors and will offer multiple opinions on topics of interest. Any original written material on this website, either authored by CMG staff or external authors, are strictly the opinion of the author and not of CMG. If you find material that is inaccurate or defaming in any way, please contact us.

No Solicitation or Investment Advice: The material contained on this website is for informational purposes only and CMG is not soliciting any action based upon such material. The material is not to be construed as an offer or a recommendation to buy or sell a security nor is it to be construed as investment advice. Additionally, the material accessible through this website does not constitute a representation that the investments described herein are suitable or appropriate for any person.
Various links on this site will allow you to leave the CMG Web site. The linked sites are not under the control of CMG, and CMG is not responsible for the contents of any linked site or any link contained in a linked site, or any changes or updates to such sites. CMG is not responsible for any correspondence via email or any other medium, email list servers, webcasting or any other form of transmission received from any linked site. Links to external sources do not imply any official endorsement by CMG or the opinions, ideas or information contained therein, nor guarantees the validity, completeness or utility of the information provided. Reference herein to any products, services, processes, hypertext links to third parties or other information does not necessarily constitute or imply endorsement, sponsorship or recommendation. CMG shall not be held liable for improper or incorrect use of data or information contained in any electronic publications. Data, information, and related graphics contained in electronic publications are not legal documents and are not intended to be used as such. CMG gives no warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability, utility or completeness of any information contained in any electronic document.

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