October 14, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal "My biggest concern is that further tightening will test the fragilities of market plumbing," - Scott Minerd, Chairman of Guggenheim Investments and Guggenheim Partners Global CIO Fragilities indeed. During last week's team call, our debate [...]Read More >
Trade Signals: The 2022 Great Bond Bear Market
By Steve Blumenthal October 14, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 3,609 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of various Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic, and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Dollar Wrecking Ball
October 7, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal "All those factors that cause a bull market, they're not only stopping, they're reversing. We are in deep trouble. You don't even need to talk about Black Swans to be worried here. To me, the risk-reward of owning assets doesn't make a lot of [...]Read More >
Trade Signals: Not Yet Out of The Woods
By Steve Blumenthal October 7, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 3,644 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of various Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic, and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >
On My Radar: The Merciless Mathematics of Loss
September 30, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal "Bull markets are born on pessimism, grow on skepticism, mature on optimism and die in euphoria." - Sir John Templeton Grab a stiff drink and feign a smile; the technicals are not looking so good. The S&P is headed for a third straight quarterly loss, [...]Read More >
Trade Signals: No Surprise, Things Are Breaking
By Steve Blumenthal September 29, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 3,640 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of various Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic, and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Additional Large Increases Ahead – Pieces Will Move, Something Will Break
September 23, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal "Earnings don't move the overall market; it's the Federal Reserve Board... focus on the central banks, and focus on the movement of liquidity... most people in the market are looking for earnings and conventional measures. It's liquidity that moves [...]Read More >
Trade Signals: FedEx, Mortgage Rates, Housing and Jerome Powell
By Steve Blumenthal September 21, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 3,856 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of various Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic, and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Update on Stock Market Valuations, Forward Returns and Inflation
September 16, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal "The process starts with inflation. Then it goes to interest rates, then to other markets, and then to the economy." - Ray Dalio, Founder, Co-Chief Investment Officer, and Member of the Bridgewater Board The process is in motion. Over the last several [...]Read More >
Trade Signals: CPI Inflation at 8.3%, Food at 11.4% and Stocks Down 4%
By Steve Blumenthal September 14, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 3,932 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of various Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic, and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >
On My Radar: The Great Reset September 2022 Update
September 9, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal “I fish to scratch the surface of those mysteries, for nearness to the beautiful, and to reassure myself the world remains.” - Carl Safina The islands of Haida Gwaii, formerly known as the Queen Charlotte Islands, sit in the northern Pacific, off the coast [...]Read More >
Trade Signals: Nothing Good Happens Below The 200-Day Moving Average
By Steve Blumenthal September 7, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 3,909 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of various Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic, and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Be Different and Ok With Being Wrong
Aug 26, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal "Anyone who thinks there’s a formula for investing that guarantees success (and that they can possess it) clearly doesn’t understand the complex, dynamic, and competitive nature of the investing process." – Howard Marks, Oaktree Capital Group, LLC A short post [...]Read More >
Trade Signals: Jackson Hole
By Steve Blumenthal August 25, 2022 S&P 500 Index — 4,199 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of various Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic, and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Boomed Booms and Slumped Slumps
Aug 19, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal "The Federal Reserve Acts were created to make the central bank of the United States a lender of last resort, not spender of last resort, a role Chair Powell confirmed in announcing the pandemic response program April 9, 2020.” – Dr. Lacy Hunt, Hoisington Research [...]Read More >
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