S&P 500 Index 2023 By Steve Blumenthal November 5, 2014 Technical evidence remains positive. Big Momentum (“Mo”) is in a buy signal since October 14, 2011 and trend evidence (as measured by the 13/34-Week EMA - see chart 2) supports the continuation of the current cyclical bull market [...]Read More >
Investor’s Business Daily: Three Best Reasons To Invest In Currency-Hedged ETFs
November 5, 2014 By Aparna Narayanan Investor's Business Daily “It’s a game changer,” Steve Blumenthal, CEO of CMG Capital Management Group, told Investor’s Businsess Daily in the story Three Best Reasons To Invest In The Currency-Hedging ETFs. Steve was referring to Friday’s news that the [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Start Off by Making Your Bed
October 31, 2014 By Steve Blumenthal “If you want to change the world, start off by making your bed” Admiral William H. McRaven “Have you heard about the Making Your Bed speech”, Susan asks me. I was sifting through a week’s worth of research trying to figure out what might be meaningful to [...]Read More >
CMG Q3 2014 Quarterly Performance Update
Dear clients, friends and family: Following is the 2014 third quarter net performance information for CMG’s Tactical Investment Strategies along with our thoughts on each strategy over the past quarter. In addition, we have provided the net performance for the CMG Managed Blends and the [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Trend Still Positive and Sentiment Favorable
S&P 500 Index 1985 By Steve Blumenthal October 29, 2014 Technical trend evidence remains positive and investor sentiment evidence continues to support a short-term recovery uptrend. The market remains expensively priced, the cyclical bull is aged - risk is high. Included in this week’s [...]Read More >
On My Radar: The Rest of the Story
October 24, 2014 By Steve Blumenthal Paul Harvey, The Rest of The Story “Years ago a teacher in Detroit asked Stevie Morris to help her find a mouse that was lost in the classroom. You see, she appreciated the fact that nature had given Stevie something no one else in the room had. [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Support Held, Big Mo Remains Bullish
S&P 500 Index 1941 By Steve Blumenthal October 22, 2014 Big Mo and the 13/34-Week EMA remain in cyclical bull market trends. Sentiment is extremely pessimistic (which is also bullish)and support held. The Zweig Bond Model continues to signal long-term bond exposure and high yield is back [...]Read More >
Watch Junk Bonds For Early Warnings Of A New Financial Crisis
October 17, 2014 By Steve Blumenthal “Investors should understand that prices and valuations are high is another way of saying future returns have already been realized, leaving little to be gained for quite some time.” John Hussman In 2005, I was pitched a Bear Stearns leveraged hedge fund that [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Market Support Targets – Sentiment at Pessimistic Extreme
S&P 500 Index 1835 By Steve Blumenthal October 15, 2014 The S&P 500 is down nearly 10% from its September high of 2019. The good news is investor pessimism is extreme. I’m going to tilt back the risk meter just a bit as investor pessimism is now at levels of extreme pessimism and the [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Stay Wary, Alert and Very, Very Nimble.
October 10, 2014 By Steve Blumenthal “We’re in a period with many daily (often hourly) points that represent pixels in the market’s picture. The short-run trends (the cyclical cycles) of the market are hard to predict. Without extraordinary powers of clairvoyance, the best plan is a diversified, [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Margin Debt at Record High
S&P 500 Index 1935 By Steve Blumenthal October 8, 2014 All but a few sectors of the stock market are under pressure. Many are below their 50 and 200 day moving averages and more stocks are declining than advancing. The health of the market is in decline; however, the overall trend [...]Read More >
On My Radar: The Secret Goldman Sachs Tapes
October 3, 2014 By Steve Blumenthal “A lot of people are not psychologically suited to buy stocks that bump around all the time.” Warren Buffett (CNBC Oct 2, 2014) Last week it was Dalio, Bloomberg, Dudley, Cooperman, Robertson and Conway as well as Julian Robertson’s “we have created two [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Technical Market Support at 1900
S&P 500 Index 1948 By Steve Blumenthal October 1, 2014 The weight of evidence continues to support the cyclical bull. Trend evidence is favorable and short-term sentiment has reached extreme pessimism (bullish for the market). High yield remains in decline (typically a leading indicator [...]Read More >
Investor’s Business Daily: ETF Experts Cautious Amid U.S. Economic Strength
September 30, 2014 By Aparna Narayanan Investor's Business Daily CMG CEO Steve Blumenthal shares with IBD his insights into what lies ahead and the top picks for investors who are seeking global exposure and diversification. Excerpt: "Stephen Blumenthal, CEO of CMG Capital Management in [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Dalio, Bloomberg, Dudley, Cooperman, Robertson and Conway
September 26, 2014 By Steve Blumenthal "Learn from yesterday, live for today, hope for tomorrow. The important thing is not to stop questioning." - Albert Einstein Feeling like a kid in a candy store, I raced to catch an early morning train. I was heading to the Bloomberg Markets Most [...]Read More >
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