September 25, 2015 By Steve Blumenthal “This Fed, massively dominated by academic Keynesians, has demonstrated that the conditions for normalizing rates are far more stringent than many of us had been led to believe from the speeches of the FOMC members themselves. This is a Federal Reserve with [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – HY, S&P and DJIA Support Levels, Sentiment and Trade Signals
S&P 500 Index 1948 By Steve Blumenthal September 23, 2015 Our CMG Managed High Yield Bond Program is back in a Sell signal. One of the things I’ve learned over my 20+ years of trading HY is that the HY bond market tends to be a good forward leading indicator for the stock market. I came [...]Read More >
On My Radar: “Dammit Janet”
September 18, 2015 By Steve Blumenthal “The effect of years of zero interest rate policies has been to progressively drive investors toward securities of greater and greater risk, in the belief that “There Is No Alternative” (TINA). In every other market cycle across history, once an “overvalued, [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Cyclical Bear Trend In Place, Sentiment Remains Extremely Pessimistic (ST Bullish)
S&P 500 Index 1986 By Steve Blumenthal September 16, 2015 Included in this week’s Trade Signals: Cyclical Equity Market Trend: Sell Signal 1. CMG NDR Large Cap Momentum Index: Sell Signal 2. 13/34-Week EMA on the S&P 500 Index: Sell Signal 3. NDR Big Mo: Neutral – Nearing a [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Valuations, Forward Returns and Recession
September 11, 2015 By Steve Blumenthal “Of the nine market declines associated with recessions that started with valuations above the mean, the average decline was -42.8%. Of the four declines that began with valuations below the mean, the average was -19.9%” – Doug Short I don’t believe a [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Extreme Pessimism and No Immediate U.S. Recession Are Two Positives
S&P 500 Index 1956 By Steve Blumenthal September 9, 2015 I remain in the “sell the rallies” mind set. Big MO is very close to triggering a sell. Most all other indicators are negative on equities. The Zweig Bond Model is once again bullish on bonds. I’ll update you on the most recent [...]Read More >
Forbes: Welcome To The Opening Round Of The New Bear Market
9/3/2015 @ 12:13PM Steve Blumenthal, Contributor CMG Capital Management Group CEO writes about strategies for this new volatile market in his latest Forbes article titled Welcome To The Opening Round Of The New Bear Market. Some excerpts from the piece: “My view: it’s time to “sell the [...]Read More >
On My Radar: A Bumpy Ride? How Bumpy? And For How Long?
September 4, 2015 By Steve Blumenthal At the National People’s Congress in Beijing in March 2015, China’s Premier Li Keqiang announced a growth target of 7 percent, acknowledging that “deep-seated problems in the country’s economy are becoming more obvious.” Three months later and thousands [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Extreme Pessimism Supports ST Rally. Trend is Bearish. Sell/Hedge on Rallies.
S&P 500 Index 1949 By Steve Blumenthal September 2, 2015 Since last week’s post the S&P 500 Index has rallied 77 points bounce off of last week’s Investor Sentiment Extreme Pessimism low. A gain of 4.11%. Following are several charts that look at the 2011 correction and today. [...]Read More >
On My Radar: We Didn’t Start The Fire
August 28, 2015 By Steve Blumenthal Harry Truman, Doris Day, Red China, Johnnie Ray South Pacific, Walter Winchell, Joe DiMaggio Joe McCarthy, Richard Nixon, Studebaker, television North Korea, South Korea, Marilyn Monroe… We didn't start the fire It was always burning Since the world's been [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Weight of Evidence “SELL”, Hedge and Raise Cash on Rallies
S&P 500 Index 1872 By Steve Blumenthal August 26, 2015 Investor pessimism has reached extreme levels – expect a bounce. That’s the positive news. If you are not hedging your equity exposure, then it may make sense to raise cash on the coming rally. Use rallies to raise cash. Find a [...]Read More >
On My Radar: An Optimist Sees The Opportunity In Every Difficulty
August 21, 2015 By Steve Blumenthal “A pessimist sees the difficulty in every opportunity; an optimist sees the opportunity in every difficulty.” - Winston Churchill Perhaps it is my early business roots that set my orientation towards a trading approach to the markets. Some of our clients take [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Temperatures Rising – Ramping Up The Risk Barometer
S&P 500 Index 2089 By Steve Blumenthal August 19, 2015 I’m moving up the level of risk due to several factors: One is a change in signal on volume demand vs. volume supply. Selling pressure is dominating buying demand, which is a concern in a period of low liquidity. Valuations [...]Read More >
Pain in High Yield Worsens
August 19, 2015, 10:26 A.M. ET By Amey Stone CMG Capital Management Group CEO Steve Blumenthal talks to Barron’s “Income Investing” columnist Amey Stone about high yield bonds. Excerpt below from the Barron’s story Pain in High Yield Worsens: "Steve Blumenthal, CEO of CMG Capital Management [...]Read More >
On My Radar: China’s Surprise – Power To The Dollar
August 14, 2015 By Steve Blumenthal “Something is deeply wrong if an economy is not growing, because it means these natural processes are impeded. That is why around the world, since the Dark Ages, lack of growth has been a signal of political oppression or instability. Absent such sickness, [...]Read More >
- « Previous Page
- 1
- …
- 66
- 67
- 68
- 69
- 70
- …
- 106
- Next Page »