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On My Radar: Beauty or the Beast?

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December 4, 2015 By admin

December 4, 2015 By Steve Blumenthal “The economy is like a machine.  At the most fundamental level it is a relatively simple machine.  But many people don’t understand it – or they don’t agree on how it works – and this has led to a lot of needless economic suffering... Seeing the economy and [...]Read More >

Trade Signals – Seasonal Tendencies, Trend Better, Don’t Fight the Tape or the Fed is Now Neutral

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December 2, 2015 By admin

S&P 500 Index 2094 By Steve Blumenthal December 2, 2015 There is improvement in several of the charts this week.  Don’t Fight the Tape or the Fed has moved back to neutral from -2.  For now, that is good news. You’ll also see that the trend data as measured by a weekly moving average [...]Read More >

How the Economic Machine Works – Ray Dalio 2015

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November 30, 2015 By admin

By Ray Dalio Below is an excerpt from Ray Dalio's piece titled, "How The Economic Machine Works": "The economy is like a machine. At the most fundamental level it is a relatively simple machine. But many people don’t understand it – or they don’t agree on how it works – and this has led to a [...]Read More >

Trade Signals – Rich Man Poor Man

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November 25, 2015 By admin

S&P 500 Index 2089 By Steve Blumenthal November 25, 2015 Overall, from a trading perspective, I am now with a neutral view on equities.  Our CMG NDR Momentum Index (my favorite measure) which looks at momentum and market breadth remains in a sell signal.  However, the weekly 13-week vs. [...]Read More >

Rich Man, Poor Man – Richard Russell

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November 25, 2015 By admin

Rich Man Poor Man - Richard Russell Nov 2015 [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Global Recession a High Probability

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November 20, 2015 By admin

November 20, 2015 By Steve Blumenthal “I have long made the claim that the transnational nature of Europe cannot be sustained. The divergent economic interests of EU countries, some with unemployment over 20 percent, some with it under 5 percent, meant that it was impossible for all of them to [...]Read More >

Paris, Sharm el-Sheik and the Resurrection of Old Europe

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November 20, 2015 By admin

George Friedman - Paris Sharm el-Sheikh and the Resurrection of Old Europe [...]Read More >

Trade Signals – Watch Out for Minus 2 (Don’t Fight the Tape or The Fed Indicator is in a Rare -2 Model Reading) – A Strong Sell Signal (Hedge!)

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November 18, 2015 By admin

S&P 500 Index 2071 By Steve Blumenthal November 18, 2015 The significant signal this week is the -2 reading on the Don’t Fight the Tape or the Fed model.  The model looks at the technical health of the broad equity market (how are most stocks doing across the various sectors).  When the [...]Read More >

On My Radar: Poking at the Beehive

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November 13, 2015 By admin

November 13, 2015 By Steve Blumenthal “The European Central Bank is likely to continue negative rates, extend and enlarge QE, and acquire more balance sheet assets over time. ECB policy influences other nearby non-euro jurisdictions. Essentially, all short-term interest rates of [...]Read More >

The Catastrophe of Negative Rates

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November 13, 2015 By admin

By Charles Gave November 11, 2015 Click here to view the piece. [...]Read More >

Time Series Momentum

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November 12, 2015 By admin

By: Tobias J. Moskowitz Yao Hua Ooi Lasse Heje Pedersen   Click here to view the full piece. [...]Read More >

Time Series Momentum Trading Strategy and Autocorrelation Amplification

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November 12, 2015 By admin

By K.J. Hong and S. Satchell   Click here to view the full piece. [...]Read More >

Trade Signals – Excessive Optimism Remains Despite Market Decline (ST Negative for Equities)

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November 11, 2015 By admin

S&P 500 Index 2075 By Steve Blumenthal November 11, 2015 Following below is my market, investor sentiment and economic dashboard. Notable this week is that excessive optimism remains despite the recent market sell-off.  Excessive optimism is short-term negative for equities.  Our trend [...]Read More >

Strange Bedfellows: Advisors & Robos

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November 10, 2015 By admin

By Cinthia Murphy November 4, 2015 There’s much soul searching in the financial advice industry these days. What will its future look like? Thanks to a leap in financial technology, largely at the hands of robo advisors, traditional advisors today are faced with a changing relationship with [...]Read More >

Forbes: Using ETFs And Options To Hedge Equity Exposure In An Overvalued Market

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November 9, 2015 By admin

10/25/2015 @ 11:17 AM Steve Blumenthal, Contributor CMG Capital Management Group CEO writes about hedging equity exposure in overvalued markets in his latest Forbes article titled Using ETFs And Options To Hedge Equity Exposure In An Overvalued Market. Some excerpts from the piece: "Many [...]Read More >

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