By Steve Blumenthal September 13, 2017 S&P 500 Index -- 2,495 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Breathtaking Risks Yet Bullish Trend Persists
September 8, 2017 By Steve Blumenthal “Expect lower returns and rocky markets for the next 2-3 years.” > Joe Davis, Global Chief Economist, Vanguard Group I’m writing to you from Chicago where I am attending the Morningstar ETF Conference. Vanguard’s global chief economist, Joe Davis, kicked [...]Read More >
Trade Signals — Secular Bull Markets Occurred Just 54% of the Time Since 1900
By Steve Blumenthal September 6, 2017 S&P 500 Index -- 2,464 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Random Acts of Kindness
September 1, 2017 By Steve Blumenthal “No act of kindness is too small. The gift of kindness may start as a small ripple that over time can turn into a tidal wave affecting the lives of many.” Kevin Heath The car is loaded with clean clothes and dog food. I’m heading out mid-morning to help [...]Read More >
720 Global – How Much is too Much?
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Trade Signals — Gold Looks Good
By Steve Blumenthal August 30, 2017 S&P 500 Index -- 2,446 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Keep One Eye Focused on Growth and the Other on Capital Preservation
August 25, 2017 By Steve Blumenthal “[T]he big elephant in the room is the Fed.” David Rosenberg Chief Economist and Strategist, Gluskin Sheff + Associates This week the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City is hosting its annual Economic Policy Symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming and a number [...]Read More >
Trade Signals — August/September Seasonal Challenges Yet Trend Signals Bullish
By Steve Blumenthal August 23, 2017 S&P 500 Index -- 2,452 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Doesn’t Matter, Doesn’t Matter, Matters!
August 18, 2017 By Steve Blumenthal “Anything that has happened economically, has happened over and over again.” – Ray Dalio Founder, Bridgewater Associates, in Bloomberg Interview My thinking is impatient and mostly critical as I sift through research each week. I’m sure my “get to the point” [...]Read More >
The S&P 500: Just Say No
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Trade Signals — Cyclical Trend, Daily Investor Sentiment, Zweig Bond Model, Gold Signals Bullish
By Steve Blumenthal August 16, 2017 S&P 500 Index -- 2,469 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >
On My Radar: The Fed is “Focused on the Obvious and Unimportant”
August 11, 2017 By Steve Blumenthal “... Focused on the obvious and unimportant.” – Former Senior Economist, Federal Reserve Bank, Camp Kotok, August 6, 2017 Atop the “what matters most” list is debt. Specifically, global sovereign debt: U.S., Europe, Japan and China. We are at the end of a [...]Read More >
Trade Signals — August 9, 2017
By Steve Blumenthal August 9, 2017 S&P 500 Index -- 2,485 I am on vacation this week in Stone Harbor in southern New Jersey with Susan and our children. I hope you are able to take some time off this summer. I'm going to try not to eat too much Springer's Homemade ice cream. I've [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Valuations and What They Tell Us About Coming 7- and 10-Year Returns
August 4, 2017 By Steve Blumenthal “The uncertainties are unusual in terms of number, scale and insolubility in areas including secular economic growth; the impact of central banks; interest rates and inflation; political dysfunction; geopolitical trouble spots; and the long-term impact of [...]Read More >
Trade Signals — A Strong +2: Don’t Fight the Trend or the Fed
By Steve Blumenthal August 2, 2017 S&P 500 Index -- 2,468 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >
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