March 9, 2018 By Steve Blumenthal “Invest in things that have never happened before, hedge for regression to the mean and plan for the unimaginable.” ― John Burbank, Passport Capital Mauldin Economics SIC 2018 “When the Fed moves in one direction they are ultimately laying the seeds for [...]Read More >
Trade Signals — No Changes Since Last Week; Equity Trend Persists
By Steve Blumenthal March 8, 2018 S&P 500 Index -- 2,732 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >
On My Radar: The Fed, Kuroda, Trump On Trade and Gary Cohn
March 2, 2018 By Steve Blumenthal “The greatest mistake of the individual investor is to think that a market that did well is a good market rather than a more expensive market.” - Ray Dalio “Volatility is an instrument of truth, and the more you deny the truth, the more the truth will [...]Read More >
Trade Signals — Bullish Equity Trend Rolls On; Fixed Income Signals Remain Bearish
By Steve Blumenthal February 28, 2018 S&P 500 Index -- 2,738 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Storming! Temperature’s Rising
February 23, 2018 By Steve Blumenthal “Remember teamwork begins by building trust. And the only way to do that is to overcome our need for invulnerability.” ― Patrick Lencioni The Five Dysfunctions of a Team: A Leadership Fable I know I frustrate my team more often than I care to admit. My [...]Read More >
Trade Signals: A Look at the 200-Day MA Rule and Current Signals
By Steve Blumenthal February 21, 2018 S&P 500 Index -- 2,716 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Equity Market Valuations and What They Tell Us About Probable 7-, 10- and 12-Year Returns
February 16, 2018 By Steve Blumenthal “Volatility fires almost always begin in the debt markets… Volatility is the brother of credit… and volatility regime shifts are driven by the credit cycle.” “When times are good and credit is easy, a company can rely on the extension of cheap debt to [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Investor Sentiment Positive; Fixed Income Sell Signals; Equity Trend Signals Remain Bullish
By Steve Blumenthal February 14, 2018 S&P 500 Index -- 2,677 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >
On My Radar: The Volatility Flash Crash Explained
February 9, 2018 By Steve Blumenthal “We are replaying an age-old storyline of financial bubbles that has been played many times before…” “This market’s current temperament feels so much like either Japan in 1989 or the U.S. in 1999. And the events that have transpired so far this January make [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Fixed Income Trends Negative, Don’t Fight the Tape or Fed Signals Caution, Equity Trend Remains Bullish
By Steve Blumenthal February 7, 2018 S&P 500 Index -- 2698 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >
On My Radar: My Favorite Recession Watch Indicators
February 2, 2018 By Steve Blumenthal “An error does not become truth by reason of multiplied propagation, nor does truth become error because nobody sees it." - Mahatma Gandhi Once a month I like review my recession watch indicators. Why? In recessions bad stuff happens. Excesses in the [...]Read More >
CMG Q4 2017 Quarterly Performance Update
Dear clients, friends and family: Following is the 2017 fourth quarter performance for CMG’s Tactical Investment Strategies along with our thoughts on each strategy over the past quarter. Market index performance is presented at the bottom of the chart. CMG Tactical Fixed Income [...]Read More >
Trade Signals — Equities March On But We Watch Inflation
By Steve Blumenthal January 31, 2018 S&P 500 Index -- 2,837 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Are We in a Bubble?
January 26, 2018 By Steve Blumenthal “For the first time in a very long time, there’s reason to be optimistic about fundamentals gaining enough traction to validate asset prices.” “The world I’m describing is a world in which even the long-term investor has to have a tactical layer on top of the [...]Read More >
Trade Signals — Markets Reach New Highs with Extreme Investor Optimism
By Steve Blumenthal January 24, 2018 S&P 500 Index -- 2,839 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >
- « Previous Page
- 1
- …
- 45
- 46
- 47
- 48
- 49
- …
- 106
- Next Page »