By Steve Blumenthal December 4, 2019 S&P 500 Index -- 3,140 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Late Cycle, Aged Bull Market, Bullish Technical Signals
By Steve Blumenthal November 27, 2019 S&P 500 Index -- 3,140 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk [...]Read More >
On My Radar: What Inflation Means for You
November 22, 2019 By Steve Blumenthal "So the reason why we raised interest rates [in late 1999-2000] is because—generally is because we see inflation as moving up—or, in danger of moving up significantly, and we really don’t see that now." – Jerome H. Powell, Chair, Board of Governors of the [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Low Inflation Regime Remains
By Steve Blumenthal November 20, 2019 S&P 500 Index -- 3,107 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk [...]Read More >
On My Radar: The Corporate Share Count, Valuations, and Trend
November 15, 2019 By Steve Blumenthal “Even if you are on the right track, you’ll get run over if you just sit there.” – Will Rogers I keep a dashboard of valuation indicators in my research folder, organized neatly by type. Right now, they are high. But how high and what does that mean? We’ll [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Extreme Optimism is a Concern, Don’t Fight the Tape or the Fed Moves to -1
By Steve Blumenthal November 13, 2019 S&P 500 Index -- 3,092 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk [...]Read More >
Thoughts from the Frontline: Slowing but Not Stopping (Yet)
By John Mauldin November 8, 2019 If you are a computer (other than the newest experimental quantum ones), your world is entirely binary. Everything is some combination of zeroes and ones. The machines can do marvelous things with those two digits but they have limits. We humans don’t have to [...]Read More >
On My Radar: The Slow Squeeze
November 8, 2019 By Steve Blumenthal “In a world where growth is meager and monetary policy less effective, governments will have a much greater effect.” – Joe Kalish Chief Global Macro Strategist, Ned David Research On my way into Philadelphia for a breakfast meeting yesterday, I listened to [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Recession Update (No Current Sign of U.S. Recession Next Six Months)
By Steve Blumenthal November 6, 2019 S&P 500 Index -- 3,076 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk [...]Read More >
On My Radar: We Will Burn the Debt
November 1, 2019 By Steve Blumenthal “Cycles are inevitable. Every once in a while, an up- or down-leg goes on for a long time and/or to a great extreme, and people start to say ‘this time it’s different.’” – Howard Marks The Federal Reserve cut rates a quarter percent on Wednesday. Chairman [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Short-term Investor Sentiment Reading Suggests Caution, Trend Signals Remain Bullish
By Steve Blumenthal October 30, 2019 S&P 500 Index -- 3,045 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk [...]Read More >
On My Radar: The Plunge Protection Team is Real
October 25, 2019 By Steve Blumenthal "Experts discern a pattern: a louder-than-usual howl against elites in countries where democracy is a source of disappointment, corruption is seen as brazen, and a tiny political class lives large while the younger generation struggles to get by." - Declan [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Don’t Fight the Tape or the Fed
By Steve Blumenthal October 23, 2019 S&P 500 Index -- 2,996 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk [...]Read More >
CMG Mauldin Smart Core Quarterly Conference Call – 3Q 2019
October 18, 2019 Hosted by: Brian Schreiner Senior Vice President, Private Wealth Group, CMG Segment 1 (03:50): Interview with John Mauldin, Chief Economist & Co-Portfolio Manager, CMG Segment 2 (11:43, audio improves at 13:20): Interview with CMG Mauldin Smart Core ETF Strategist, [...]Read More >
Thoughts from the Frontline: Decoding the Fed
By John Mauldin October 18, 2019 “In the economic sphere an act, a habit, an institution, a law produces not only one effect, but a series of effects. Of these effects, the first alone is immediate; it appears simultaneously with its cause; it is seen. The other effects emerge only [...]Read More >
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