By Steve Blumenthal February 26, 2020 S&P 500 Index -- 3,116 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk [...]Read More >
On My Radar: This is EUPHORIA. Wait for PESSIMISM
February 21, 2020 By Steve Blumenthal “While no one wishes to incur losses, you couldn’t prove it from an examination of the behavior of most investors and speculators. The speculative urge that lies within most of us is strong; the prospect of a free lunch can be compelling, especially when [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – HY Trend, Credit Conditions and Recession Indicators are Key Bear Market Indicators
By Steve Blumenthal February 19, 2020 S&P 500 Index -- 3,389 (open) Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Growth vs. Value (Like it’s 1999)
February 14, 2020 By Steve Blumenthal "Investing is the intersection of economics and psychology.” "The economics, the valuation of the business, is not hard. The psychology—How much do you buy? Do you buy it at this price? Do you wait for a lower price? What do you do when it looks like the [...]Read More >
The Next “Minsky Moment” Is Inevitable
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Trade Signals – Bullish Equity and Fixed Income Trends Charge On, Despite Global Concerns of Coronavirus
By Steve Blumenthal February 12, 2020 S&P 500 Index -- 3,370 (open) Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in [...]Read More >
On My Radar: How You Played the Game
February 7, 2020 By Steve Blumenthal “For when the One Great Scorer comes to mark against your name, He writes not that you won or lost, but how you played the game!” – Grantland Rice In 1907, sportswriter Grantland Rice saw what he would call the greatest thrill he ever witnessed in his years [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Equity, Bond and Gold Signals Bullish
By Steve Blumenthal February 5, 2020 S&P 500 Index -- 3,324 (open) Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in [...]Read More >
On My Radar: A. Gary Shilling – Inflation or Deflation? Deflation is Winning
January 31, 2020 By Steve Blumenthal “The US economy has experienced its slowest recovery from a recession in the post-World War II era, and the longer it lasts the more evidence there is that normal cyclical patterns are missing. And their absence means market participants shouldn’t rely on [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Low Cash, High Market Debt
By Steve Blumenthal January 29, 2020 S&P 500 Index -- 3,276 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk [...]Read More >
On My Radar: The Baby Boomers are Booming Money Into Bond Funds – Unaware of the Risks
January 24, 2020 By Steve Blumenthal “We’re just in the craziest monetary-fiscal [policy] mix in history. It’s so explosive, it defies imagination. It reminds me a lot of early ’99 [when inflation was low and stock markets were soaring]. The difference is the fed funds rate was 4.75% — today [...]Read More >
Practical Applications for VIX by Index TV
What is (and isn’t) actually implied by VIX data? Stephen Blumenthal, CIO at CMG Capital Management Group joins S&P DJI’s Ed Ware and Hamish Preston to explore what VIX data means and how to put Wall Street’s fear gauge to work. [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Near-Record Bullish Investor Sentiment Screams Caution
By Steve Blumenthal January 22, 2020 S&P 500 Index -- 3,328 (open) Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in [...]Read More >
CMG Mauldin Smart Core Quarterly Conference Call – 4Q 2019
January 14, 2020 Hosted by: Brian Schreiner Senior Vice President, Private Wealth Group, CMG Segment 1 (03:35): Interview with John Mauldin, Chief Economist & Co-Portfolio Manager, CMG Segment 2 (19:30): Interview with CMG Mauldin Smart Core ETF Strategist, Michael Hee, Managing [...]Read More >
On My Radar: The Instability of Investment Prompted by Financial Speculation
January 17, 2020 By Steve Blumenthal “The last five major global cyclical events were the early 1990s recession — largely occasioned by the U.S. Savings & Loan crisis, the collapse of Japan Inc. after the stock market crash of 1990, the Asian crisis of the mid-1990s, the fabulous technology [...]Read More >
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